574 Lakewood Blvd · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for YOUR new home or INVESTMENT?!?! This property is a GO-TO show & tell piece! It has ideal amenities & features your heart desires! Equipped with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, washer AND dryer INCLUDED! Let's NOT forget the recently installed furnace & hot water heater! Also included is central air that you WILL NEED to remain COOL! This MARVEL has an AMPLE supply of land to walk the dog, HOST cookouts/parties, OR add to your investment portfolio! TWO detached outdoor sheds for your tools, gardening equipment, OR additional storage needs! Finally we can NOT forget the game room for those FAMILY game nights! Schedule your showing TODAY and MOVE IN!
Key facts
- Ample supply of land
- Hot water heater
- Game room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 12,005 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $145k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.76%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 Waverly St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,419 (-2%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $85 | 81 |
| 354 Westgate Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (+1%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $51 | 77 |
| 339 Blackhawk Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,417 (-2%) | 1mo | $234,200 | $165 | 71 |
| 4 Lakewood Ct | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,556 (+7%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $132 | 67 |
| 340 Sauk Trl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,576 (+9%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $114 | 64 |
| 109 Wilson St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,525 (+5%) | 1mo | $233,500 | $153 | 64 |
| 356 Wilshire St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $40 | 60 |
| 287 Mohawk St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-3%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 289 Westwood Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,664 (+15%) | 1mo | $95,102 | $57 | 47 |
| 251 Westwood Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 245 Miami St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,363 (-6%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $102 | 47 |
| 433 Lakewood Blvd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $132 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $8,543
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $49,317
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,291 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$490 /mo · $5,879/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,161 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4200 Arlington Dr Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,061 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 22015 E Churchill Dr Richton Park, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 441 Talala St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3538 212th Pl Matteson, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $2,000 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.44mi |
| 19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1541 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-03-05price $145,000
-
2026-01-05$150,000 Active
-
2025-11-16historical
-
2025-09-23price
-
2025-09-15status Active
-
2025-08-07historical
-
2025-07-20price
-
2025-05-16Active
-
1999-06-17soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,879 · $490/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,879 · $490/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$5,879
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,200
- − Management
- −$2,200
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $4,154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$997
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,997/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+141.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $145,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-01-05 Listed $150,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-11-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-20 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2023): $5,879 · +448.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…