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574 Lakewood Blvd
B Composite 73.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

574 Lakewood Blvd · Park Forest, IL 60466
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1956 0.28 ac lot Est $180k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for YOUR new home or INVESTMENT?!?! This property is a GO-TO show & tell piece! It has ideal amenities & features your heart desires! Equipped with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, washer AND dryer INCLUDED! Let's NOT forget the recently installed furnace & hot water heater! Also included is central air that you WILL NEED to remain COOL! This MARVEL has an AMPLE supply of land to walk the dog, HOST cookouts/parties, OR add to your investment portfolio! TWO detached outdoor sheds for your tools, gardening equipment, OR additional storage needs! Finally we can NOT forget the game room for those FAMILY game nights! Schedule your showing TODAY and MOVE IN!

Key facts

  • Ample supply of land
  • Hot water heater
  • Game room

Tags

RECENTLY INSTALLED FURNACEHOT WATER HEATERCENTRAL AIRAMPLE SUPPLY OF LANDTWO DETACHED OUTDOOR SHEDSGAME ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: House
  • Exterior features: Lot of approximately 12,005 sq ft

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $145k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.76%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
356 Waverly St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,419 (-2%) 2mo $120,000 $85 81
354 Westgate Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,470 (+1%) 2mo $75,000 $51 77
339 Blackhawk Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,417 (-2%) 1mo $234,200 $165 71
4 Lakewood Ct 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,556 (+7%) 2mo $205,000 $132 67
340 Sauk Trl 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (+9%) 1mo $180,000 $114 64
109 Wilson St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,525 (+5%) 1mo $233,500 $153 64
356 Wilshire St 0.21mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,248 (-14%) 2mo $50,000 $40 60
287 Mohawk St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-3%) 1mo $175,000 $124 60
289 Westwood Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,664 (+15%) 1mo $95,102 $57 47
251 Westwood Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-14%) 2mo $217,000 $174 47
245 Miami St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,363 (-6%) 2mo $139,000 $102 47
433 Lakewood Blvd 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,248 (-14%) 2mo $165,000 $132 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,543
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$49,317
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,291 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$490 /mo · $5,879/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$500

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,659
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1161 $2,161 $1.86 16d 1 0.31mi
4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 13d 1 0.49mi
4200 Arlington Dr Richton Park, IL 3.0 2.0 1595 $2,061 $1.29 20d 1 0.83mi
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,300 $2.11 25d 1 0.99mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 3d 1 1.00mi
372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 25d 1 1.11mi
22015 E Churchill Dr Richton Park, IL 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 25d 1 1.13mi
490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,895 $1.46 3d 1 1.20mi
441 Talala St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1740 $2,500 $1.44 25d 1 1.28mi
3538 212th Pl Matteson, IL 3.0 1.0 1209 $2,000 $1.65 25d 1 1.29mi
111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 25d 1 1.30mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 25d 1 1.40mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 22d 1 1.43mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 1d 11 1.44mi
19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1541 $2,300 $1.49 12d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-03-05
    price $145,000
  6. 2026-01-05
    listed $150,000 Active
  7. 2025-11-16
    historical
  8. 2025-09-23
    price
  9. 2025-09-15
    status Active
  10. 2025-08-07
    historical
  11. 2025-07-20
    price
  12. 2025-05-16
    listed Active
  13. 1999-06-17
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,879 · $490/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,879 · $490/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,498
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$5,879
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,200
− Management
−$2,200
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$4,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$997
After-tax cash flow
$4,997/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+141.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $145,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $150,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-11-16 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-15 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-07 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-16 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,879 · +448.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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