3940 El Paso St · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special on approximately 1/2 acre just minutes from town! This 1,245 sq ft home offers a prime opportunity for renovation, rental income, or a complete reimagining. Situated on a spacious lot with room to expand, add additional structures, or create your ideal setup. Whether you're looking for your next flip, rental property, or a project with potential, this one is full of possibilities. Convenient location with easy access to town, making it an ideal investment opportunity.
Key facts
- 1/2 acre
- Easy access to town
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,590/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 657% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.92%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,955
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -20.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3250 Minglewood Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,959 (+0%) | 2mo | $214,500 | $109 | 75 |
| 3150 Oakwood Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,876 (-4%) | 20mo | $59,900 | $32 | 65 |
| 3185 Delaware St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (-2%) | 7mo | $166,500 | $87 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $52,082
- Equity at exit
- $50,431
- IRR
- 32.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.49×
- Total profit
- $130,664
- Equity at exit
- $88,968
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77703
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,590 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$300 /mo · $3,605/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $523 | -5% $499 | +0% $474 | +5% $450 | +10% $426 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $412 | +0% $474 | +5% $537 | +10% $600 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $517 | -0.5pp $496 | base $474 | +0.5pp $452 | +1.0pp $430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3085 S Willowood Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1533 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3825 Hyde Park Row Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1496 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1442 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3435 Kenwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3450 Durwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-09$85,000 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Investor special on approximately 1/2 acre just minutes from town! This 1,245 sq ft home offers a prime opportunity for renovation, rental income, or a complete reimagining. Situated on a spacious lot with room to expand, add additional structures, or create your ideal setup. Whether you're looking for your next flip, rental property, or a project with potential, this one is full of possibilities. Convenient location with easy access to town, making it an ideal investment opportunity.
-
2026-04-08$85,000 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Investor special on approximately 1/2 acre just minutes from town! This 1,245 sq ft home offers a prime opportunity for renovation, rental income, or a complete reimagining. Situated on a spacious lot with room to expand, add additional structures, or create your ideal setup. Whether you're looking for your next flip, rental property, or a project with potential, this one is full of possibilities. Convenient location with easy access to town, making it an ideal investment opportunity.
-
2018-10-10soldstatus
-
2018-10-04soldstatus
-
2018-09-07$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,605 · $300/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,605 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$3,605
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,526
- − Management
- −$1,526
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,763
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- County
- Jefferson County · 203,592 people
- City population
- 125,901
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,004
- Household income
- $31,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 7% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.43%
- Current HPI
- 151.9888
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+6.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $85,000 BBOR
- 2026-04-08 Listed $85,000 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2018-10-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-10-04 Sold (MLS) — BBOR
- 2018-09-07 Listed $79,900 BBOR
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,605 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…