2323 21st St · Haleyville, AL 35565

$125,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,215 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market

Built 1964 3.00 ac lot Est $115k · 8% over ↓ 30% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.0/30.0
• Appreciation +7.3/10.0
• DSCR +6.0/10.0
• ARV discount +3.8/15.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

You wont want to miss this one! The perfect blend of space, privacy, and convenience in this 4 bedroom 2 bath brick home nestled on 2.6 acres. The single level layout offers generously sized bedrooms, excellent storage, and a comfortable flow ideal for everyday living. Recent updates Roof ( 2022), HVAC (2019), and updated flooring throughout. Home has a large living area, and open kitchen. This home is tucked away off the road for privacy, yet minutes from schools, dining, and shopping. Home sold as is.

Key facts

• Recent updates
• Large living area
• Single level layout

Tags

• BRICK HOME
• 2.6 ACRES
• SINGLE LEVEL LAYOUT
• RECENT UPDATES
• LARGE LIVING AREA
• OPEN KITCHEN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (12.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $109k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Haleyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#287 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
• Haleyville City (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #50 of 129 in AL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Winston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
• Winston County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $109,265 (12.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.50%
• DSCR: 1.20
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $115,425
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2935 Elizabeth St	0.27mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,161 (-4%)	23mo	$110,000	$95	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.98×
• Total profit: $34,430
• Equity at exit: $67,996

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.80×
• Total profit: $98,079
• Equity at exit: $115,069

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35565

• Home prices YoY: 3.5%
• Active inventory: 77
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,093 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$24 /mo · $293/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $927

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-03-20
   soldstatus $115,000
2. 2026-02-14
   status Pending
3. 2025-12-31
   listed $125,000 Active
4. 2025-01-20
   historical Active Under Contract
5. 2024-12-13
   price $157,000
6. 2024-11-13
   listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $293 · $24/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $512 · $43/mo
• Expected delta: +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 74.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,112
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$293
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,049
• − Management: −$1,049
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable loss: −$543
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$130
• After-tax cash flow: $1,704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Haleyville City
• NCES district ID: 0101720
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $29,581
• Composite: 28.3/100
• National rank: #6787
• State rank: #50 of 129 in AL

Livability — Haleyville

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #287
• US rank: #18676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,815

Population outlook (Winston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,474 people
• By 2030: 21,568 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 19,710 · -12.3%
• By 2050: 17,950 · -20.1%
• By 2075: 14,468 · -35.6%
• By 2100: 11,554 · -48.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Winston

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+83.6) · D 7.9% · R 91.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -63.3pp · 2024: -83.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+83.6 2020: R+81.7 2016: R+81.5 2012: R+72.3 2008: R+63.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.62%
• Current HPI: 137.486
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-30.3% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
• 2026-02-14 Pending — Walker County Area MLS
• 2025-12-31 Listed $125,000 Walker County Area MLS
• 2025-01-20 Contingent — Walker County Area MLS
• 2024-12-13 Price Changed $157,000 Walker County Area MLS
• 2024-11-13 Listed $165,000 Walker County Area MLS

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $293 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.