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6989 Festival Dr SW #91
B- Composite 66.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

6989 Festival Dr SW #91 · Cutlerville, MI 49548
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 31 Days on market
Built 2014 Good condition $66/sqft · 37% above area Est $47k · 37% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

Key facts

  • Led mirrors
  • Clubhouse
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

HOLIDAY ESTATES COMMUNITYCLUBHOUSEPLAYGROUNDBASKETBALL COURTSLVP FLOORINGLED MIRRORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 2.4% in Cutlerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Byron Center Public Schools (suburban): math 69% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #15 of 540 in MI (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
21.07%
Cash-on-cash
52.78%
DSCR
3.35
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,377
List price
$64,900
Delta
36.99%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7150 Friarway Ave SW 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,012 (+3%) 6mo $54,000 $53 76
323 Scabbard St SW 0.58mi 3/2.0 988 (+1%) 7mo $50,000 $51 66
6516 Bayonet Ave SW 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,088 (+11%) 10mo $56,000 $51 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.8%
Equity multiple
3.22×
Total profit
$40,410
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
56.2%
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$100,830
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49548

Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,579 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$799

Break-even live

Break-even rent $568
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7283 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,514 $1.31 21d 1 0.29mi
6700 Creekstone Ln SW Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,285 $1.28 2d 1 0.40mi
6500 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 784 $1,399 $1.78 10d 1 0.80mi
6471 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 2.0 1.0 728 $1,399 $1.92 10d 1 0.83mi
6263 Division Ave S Grand Rapids, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1200 $1,579 $1.32 2d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

  3. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

  4. 2026-04-14
    listed $64,900 Active 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

  5. 2026-04-14
    listed $64,900 Active 545-char remark
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

  6. 2026-04-14
    listed $64,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (545 chars)

    This 3 bed, 2 bath home is located in the Holiday Estates community, which features a clubhouse, playground, and basketball courts. The home includes several recent updates, including LVP flooring and LED mirrors in the bathrooms. The main living space offers an open concept layout with a kitchen that includes stainless steel appliances. The home backs to Buck Creek, offering a nice view behind the property. Additionally, this home is less than 15 minutes from Downtown Grand Rapids, 10 minutes from Tanger Outlets, and close to restaurants.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,953
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,516
− Management
−$1,516
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$9,099
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,184
After-tax cash flow
$7,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Holiday Estates is in good condition with recent updates. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Improves convenience and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Byron Center Public Schools
NCES district ID
2607560
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$63,763
Composite
61.5/100
National rank
#753
State rank
#15 of 540 in MI

Livability — Cutlerville

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#6874

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cutlerville, MI
County
Kent County · 533,805 people
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,777
Household income
$61,636
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
781.0

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.41%
Current HPI
325.8096
Rent YoY
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $64,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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