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174 Joe Walading Dr
A Composite 86.67
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

174 Joe Walading Dr · Midland City, AL 36350
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 2006 0.31 ac lot $112/sqft · 20% below area Est $176k · 20% under ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don't miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Storage building
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDSTORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#143 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dale County (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 129 in AL (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
16.14%
Cash-on-cash
35.18%
DSCR
2.57
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,763
List price
$139,900
Delta
-20.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
268 Halie Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+1%) 7mo $153,000 $122 82
59 Cotton Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,238 (-1%) 15mo $154,000 $124 76
327 Halie Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+4%) 13mo $172,500 $133 68
969 Hinton Waters Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+1%) 15mo $164,000 $130 64
61 Magnolia St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+9%) 4mo $209,000 $154 57
177 3rd St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+12%) 7mo $234,900 $168 53
115 Gardenia St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+14%) 9mo $199,000 $139 47
223 Daniel St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,248 (0%) 21mo $150,000 $120 44
162 Dale Cir 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+12%) 10mo $118,000 $84 41
127 Brookline St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,077 (-14%) 18mo $35,000 $32 38
100 Huey 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,075 (-14%) 11mo $135,000 $126 35
94 Huey St 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (-12%) 22mo $125,000 $114 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.2%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$149,278
Equity at exit
$126,033
10-year hold
IRR
44.9%
Equity multiple
10.75×
Total profit
$381,991
Equity at exit
$271,795

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36350

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$1,148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,047
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,227 -5% $1,188 +0% $1,148 +5% $1,109 +10% $1,069
Rent -10% $951 -5% $1,050 +0% $1,148 +5% $1,247 +10% $1,346
Rate -1.0pp $1,219 -0.5pp $1,184 base $1,148 +0.5pp $1,112 +1.0pp $1,075

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
312 Joe Walding Dr Midland City, AL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,500 $2.02 44d 1 0.13mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $139,900 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    price $149,900 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,900 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $152,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

  12. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

  13. 2026-05-07
    price $152,900 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don't miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

  14. 2026-04-16
    listed $154,900 Active 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $154,900 Active 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.

  16. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  17. 2026-02-14
    status Pending
  18. 2026-01-28
    listed $154,900 Active
  19. 2025-03-07
    price $144,000
  20. 2025-02-05
    listed $154,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$418 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$574 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$156/yr (+$13/mo · 37.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$12,176
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,922
After-tax cash flow
$10,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dale County
NCES district ID
0101050
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,949
Composite
34.16/100
National rank
#5277
State rank
#26 of 129 in AL

Livability — Midland City

Score
65/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#13549

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midland City, AL
Population (ZIP)
7,675

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,805 people
By 2030
45,176 · -3.5%
By 2040
41,523 · -11.3%
By 2050
37,575 · -19.7%
By 2075
28,931 · -38.2%
By 2100
22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.34%
Current HPI
219.7326
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending WBR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $152,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 WBR
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-02-14 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $154,900 SAMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Price Changed $144,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-02-05 Listed $154,500 SAMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $418 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…