174 Joe Walading Dr · Midland City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don't miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Storage building
- 0.31 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#143 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dale County (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 129 in AL (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.18%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,763
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -20.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 Halie Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+1%) | 7mo | $153,000 | $122 | 82 |
| 59 Cotton Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (-1%) | 15mo | $154,000 | $124 | 76 |
| 327 Halie Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+4%) | 13mo | $172,500 | $133 | 68 |
| 969 Hinton Waters Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+1%) | 15mo | $164,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 61 Magnolia St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (+9%) | 4mo | $209,000 | $154 | 57 |
| 177 3rd St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 7mo | $234,900 | $168 | 53 |
| 115 Gardenia St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+14%) | 9mo | $199,000 | $139 | 47 |
| 223 Daniel St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 162 Dale Cir | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+12%) | 10mo | $118,000 | $84 | 41 |
| 127 Brookline St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,077 (-14%) | 18mo | $35,000 | $32 | 38 |
| 100 Huey | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-14%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $126 | 35 |
| 94 Huey St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-12%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $114 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $149,278
- Equity at exit
- $126,033
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 10.75×
- Total profit
- $381,991
- Equity at exit
- $271,795
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36350
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $418/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $1,148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,227 | -5% $1,188 | +0% $1,148 | +5% $1,109 | +10% $1,069 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $951 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,148 | +5% $1,247 | +10% $1,346 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,219 | -0.5pp $1,184 | base $1,148 | +0.5pp $1,112 | +1.0pp $1,075 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Joe Walding Dr Midland City, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09status $139,900 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $149,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $152,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $152,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $152,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (609 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
-
2026-05-12status Pending 609-char remark
Show marketing remark (609 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
-
2026-05-07price $152,900 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don't miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
-
2026-04-16$154,900 Active 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (609 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
-
2026-04-16$154,900 Active 609-char remark
Show marketing remark (609 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering over 1,200 sq ft of comfortable living space in Midland City. The functional layout includes a bright living area, practical kitchen, and spacious bedrooms designed for everyday living. Step outside to enjoy a large backyard complete with a storage building—perfect for extra space or hobbies. This home is move-in ready with room to add your personal touches, making it a great opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Priced to sell—don’t miss your chance to own a solid home at an affordable price point.
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2026-04-03status Active
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2026-02-14status Pending
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2026-01-28$154,900 Active
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2025-03-07price $144,000
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2025-02-05$154,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $418 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$156/yr (+$13/mo · 37.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$418
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $12,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,922
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dale County
- NCES district ID
- 0101050
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,949
- Composite
- 34.16/100
- National rank
- #5277
- State rank
- #26 of 129 in AL
Livability — Midland City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #13549
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland City, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,675
Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,805 people
- By 2030
- 45,176 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 41,523 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 37,575 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 28,931 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Dale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.34%
- Current HPI
- 219.7326
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-1.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — WBR
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $152,900 SAMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 SAMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $154,900 WBR
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — SAMLS
- 2026-02-14 Pending — SAMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $154,900 SAMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $144,000 SAMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed $154,500 SAMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $418 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…