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647 Boone Gap Rd
C Composite 58.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,900

647 Boone Gap Rd · Moravian Falls, NC 28606
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1980 14 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to your own private paradise. Nestled in the foothills and surrounded by nature this secluded property offers over 13 acres of beauty and endless possibilities. Creek winds through the property with charming small waterfall enjoy year round. Great if you are an avid hunter, outdoor enthusiast, hiker or simply looking for a retreat. Cabin is rustic has water and power, heated with wood stove. Additional 20 x 20 two story building on the property could be finished for second cabin. This unique type property is a must see.

Key facts

  • Over 13 acres
  • Rustic cabin
  • Creek winds

Tags

OVER 13 ACRESCREEK WINDSSMALL WATERFALLRUSTIC CABINWATER AND POWERHEATED WITH WOOD STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 13.63 acres; Property type listed as residential; Structure type: house; Road directions: Hwy 18 past Boomer Road, left on Boone Gap Rd; gated driveway on the left
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One-and-a-half story
  • Construction: Built in 1980; Wood siding construction; One fireplace located in the great room
  • Exterior features: Creek on the property; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater (appliance listed)
  • Bedrooms: Primary on main
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wood heating; No central air conditioning listed
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; Unfinished basement; Basement with approximately 640 finished-equivalent area (basement area listed)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.2% in Moravian Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#366 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Wilkes County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Wilkes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Wilkes County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $188,750 (5.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.15%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$64,963
Equity at exit
$117,169
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$181,462
Equity at exit
$205,508

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28606

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,888 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,434/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,584
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 532-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $199,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,434 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$205/yr (+$17/mo · 14.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,650
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$1,434
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,812
− Management
−$1,812
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$101
After-tax cash flow
$2,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkes County Schools
NCES district ID
3704950
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 13.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$34,538
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3017
State rank
#59 of 178 in NC

Livability — Moravian Falls

Score
64/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#14562

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,743

Population outlook (Wilkes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,349 people
By 2030
64,411 · -2.9%
By 2040
59,800 · -9.9%
By 2050
54,770 · -17.5%
By 2075
45,211 · -31.9%
By 2100
36,956 · -44.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilkes

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -59.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.6 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.32%
Current HPI
318.0226
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $199,900 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+13.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,434 · +145.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…