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241 Novia Ave S
D- Composite 38.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0

$325,000

241 Novia Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,714 sqft · Land · 75 Days on market
Built 2026 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.

Key facts

  • Outdoor entertaining
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LARGE PORCELAIN TILE FLOORINGDIRECT ACCESS TO BACKYARDOUTDOOR ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: New construction
  • HOA & community: No HOA maintenance or amenities; Community type: Non-gated (see remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Impact resistant windows and doors
  • Utilities: Well water with softener; Septic sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story (ranch) traditional design; Rear exposure faces east; Residential property in Lehigh Acres
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 2026
  • Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Impact resistant windows; Impact resistant doors; Wooded area view; Public road access; Regular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/Freezer
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Master bathrooms: 2 masters with dual sinks and shower-only configurations
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pantry; Tray ceiling; Great room; Split bedroom floor plan; Breakfast bar; Breakfast room; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining; Dining area in family room; Dining area in living room; Open porch/lanai; Guest bath; Home office; Unfurnished; Smoke detector
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Auto garage door

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-477 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (21.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (31.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $325k implies a 2726% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,896 (31.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.29%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$140,081
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.67×
Total profit
$424,737
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,239 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$-477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,843
Max offer price $255,945
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
313 Melissa Ave Unit A Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,575 $1.31 2d 1 0.17mi
315 Melissa Ave Unit A Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,550 $1.29 2d 1 0.19mi
1228 Chrisholm St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1811 $2,500 $1.38 1d 1 0.24mi
1226 Chrisholm St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1811 $2,500 $1.38 1d 1 0.25mi
327 Lester Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1577 $2,195 $1.39 1d 1 0.47mi
1122 Randolph St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,100 $1.35 23d 1 0.59mi
1252 County St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1571 $1,995 $1.27 23d 1 0.65mi
444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 21d 1 0.80mi
232 Fowler Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,664 $1.68 23d 1 0.95mi
462 Lampion Ave S Unit Main house Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1089 $1,600 $1.47 3d 1 1.02mi
459 Lackey Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,825 $1.00 1d 1 1.04mi
442 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1365 $1,750 $1.28 3d 1 1.14mi
18 Scott Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1822 $3,200 $1.76 1d 1 1.17mi
1245 Amherst St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,620 $1.41 13d 1 1.25mi
1018 Kent St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 15d 1 1.37mi
1144 Essex St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,650 $1.13 19d 1 1.42mi
1224 Bayou St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,750 $1.38 23d 1 1.42mi
940 Belmont St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,850 $1.55 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 71 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $325,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-04-03
    listed $325,000 Active
  13. 2022-03-21
    soldstatus $11,500 Closed 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.

  14. 2022-03-01
    status Pending 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.

  15. 2021-12-28
    listed $12,500 Active 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.

  16. 2021-10-25
    historical
  17. 2021-06-25
    listed $13,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,868
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,149
− Management
−$2,149
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$11,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,782
After-tax cash flow
$-2,945/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2238.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $325,000 BEARMLS
  • 2022-03-21 Sold (MLS) $11,500 FORTMLS
  • 2022-03-01 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2021-12-28 Listed $12,500 FORTMLS
  • 2021-10-25 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2021-06-25 Listed $13,900 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+18.9%/yr

Latest (2022): $285 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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