241 Novia Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.
Key facts
- Outdoor entertaining
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: New construction
- HOA & community: No HOA maintenance or amenities; Community type: Non-gated (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Impact resistant windows and doors
- Utilities: Well water with softener; Septic sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story (ranch) traditional design; Rear exposure faces east; Residential property in Lehigh Acres
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Impact resistant windows; Impact resistant doors; Wooded area view; Public road access; Regular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator/Freezer
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Master bathrooms: 2 masters with dual sinks and shower-only configurations
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Pantry; Tray ceiling; Great room; Split bedroom floor plan; Breakfast bar; Breakfast room; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining; Dining area in family room; Dining area in living room; Open porch/lanai; Guest bath; Home office; Unfurnished; Smoke detector
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Auto garage door
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-477 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (21.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (31.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $325k implies a 2726% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.29%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $140,081
- Equity at exit
- $292,786
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $424,737
- Equity at exit
- $631,404
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33974
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 2460
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,239 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-477
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 Melissa Ave Unit A Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 2d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 315 Melissa Ave Unit A Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1228 Chrisholm St Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1226 Chrisholm St Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1811 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 327 Lester Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,195 | $1.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1122 Randolph St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1252 County St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,995 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 232 Fowler Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $2,664 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 462 Lampion Ave S Unit Main house Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 459 Lackey Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,825 | $1.00 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 442 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,750 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 18 Scott Ave Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $3,200 | $1.76 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1245 Amherst St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,620 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1018 Kent St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1144 Essex St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1224 Bayou St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 940 Belmont St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,850 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $325,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-04-03$325,000 Active
-
2022-03-21soldstatus $11,500 Closed 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.
-
2022-03-01status Pending 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.
-
2021-12-28$12,500 Active 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
1/4 acre lot in Lehigh Acres. Midway from Route 80 and Route 82.
-
2021-10-25historical
-
2021-06-25$13,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,149
- − Management
- −$2,149
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$11,591
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,782
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,927
- Household income
- $72,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 434.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.53%
- Current HPI
- 303.3399
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.68%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2238.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $325,000 BEARMLS
- 2022-03-21 Sold (MLS) $11,500 FORTMLS
- 2022-03-01 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2021-12-28 Listed $12,500 FORTMLS
- 2021-10-25 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2021-06-25 Listed $13,900 FORTMLS
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2022): $285 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…