5337 Brody Dr · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Nettleton School District! The split floor plan offers privacy and functionality, while the fenced backyard provides plenty of space for outdoor entertaining, pets, or play. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to downsize, this home checks all the boxes.
Key facts
- Split floor plan
- Fenced backyard
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (16.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Nettleton Junior High School (math 21% / reading 31%, grade F, #159 of 201 statewide, top 80%, 546 students, 100% FRL); Nettleton High School (math 11% / reading 27%, grade F, #248 of 292 statewide, top 86%, 981 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 56% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.37%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $231,983
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -13.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 741 Brody Ct | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $167 | 93 |
| 5409 Reed Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+2%) | 2mo | $203,500 | $156 | 91 |
| 5409 Reed Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+2%) | 2mo | $203,500 | $156 | 91 |
| 805 Elizabeth Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+7%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $160 | 80 |
| 717 Troy Cv | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+12%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $168 | 75 |
| 5211 Nathan Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (-11%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $163 | 69 |
| 1420 Crepe Myrtle Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+6%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $143 | 69 |
| 5404 Brody Dr | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,429 (+12%) | 3mo | $237,000 | $166 | 69 |
| 1508 Crepe Myrtle Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,230 (-4%) | 2mo | $179,000 | $146 | 68 |
| 1312 Crepe Myrtle Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (+12%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 1710 Hibiscus | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (+8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $163 | 59 |
| 5200 Prospector | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,439 (+13%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $163 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $89,058
- Equity at exit
- $171,687
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.83×
- Total profit
- $270,168
- Equity at exit
- $361,663
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 17 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.8 mo (35%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $234,000 ($158/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 42 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 72405
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$220
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-76 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-246 | +10% $-302 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-327 | -5% $-258 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-121 | +10% $-52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-89 | -0.5pp $-138 | base $-189 | +0.5pp $-241 | +1.0pp $-294 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 93d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 259 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 93d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5408 Mariposa Grove Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-29days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $199,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 319-char remark
-
2026-06-07$210,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,279 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 23.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$2,502
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$5,661
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $-913/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the Nettleton School District is in good condition with a good curb appeal. It has a split floor plan and a fenced backyard. The home is move-in ready with minor cosmetic updates that would significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and home value ↑
- Resale Clean gutters — Improves home's appearance and functionality ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Resale Update kitchen backsplash — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Rental Install smart home devices — Attracts tech-savvy renters and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nettleton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,754
- Composite
- 19.0/100
- National rank
- #8846
- State rank
- #199 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 122,235 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,675
- Household income
- $92,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.42%
- Current HPI
- 277.37
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $199,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2021-09-13 Sold (MLS) $179,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2021-04-13 Listed $179,900 NEABOR MLS
Property tax history
+58.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,035 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…