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41 Twin Pines Rd
B- Composite 69.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,700

41 Twin Pines Rd · Brunswick, NC 28472
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,405 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 175 Days on market
Built 1950 9,148 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the opportunity to transform this classic circa 1950 one-story home into the standout property of the neighborhood. Situated on a spacious lot with mature trees, a welcoming front porch, a carport, and an inviting footprint ready for your creative vision. The fenced front yard, screened porch, and established landscaping offer great curb appeal once refreshed. Whether you're an investor, DIY enthusiast, or buyer looking to customize your next home, this property delivers incredible value and a solid foundation to build upon. With renovations, this could become the cozy cottage or stylish modern retreat you've been imagining. This property is owned by the US DEPT OF HUD. HUD case ID

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Spacious lot
  • Screened porch

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTMATURE TREESWELCOMING FRONT PORCHCARPORTFENCED FRONT YARDSCREENED PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Has carport (1 space); Off-street paved parking
  • Utilities: Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Foundation details: see remarks; Built in (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Partial fencing; Property has a view; City street and state road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 82 x 112 x 81 x 107

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (type not specified); Has cooling (type not specified)
  • Interior features: No built-in kitchen appliances listed; Basement: None; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#611 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D+, amenities F.
  • Whiteville City Schools (town): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #81 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Edgewood Elementary (math 49% / reading 43%, grade D-, #551 of 1,410 statewide, top 40%, 454 students, 99% FRL); Central Middle (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D+, #154 of 475 statewide, top 33%, 462 students, 99% FRL); Whiteville High (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 662 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Columbus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $544 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbus County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,256 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
18.98%
Cash-on-cash
45.31%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$29,505
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
599 Bitmore Rd 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,285 (-8%) 19mo $27,000 $21 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$40,251
Equity at exit
$11,734
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
5.69×
Total profit
$103,315
Equity at exit
$6,805

Cash invested: $22,036 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28472

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$413
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $784/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$832

Break-even live

Break-even rent $647
Max offer price $78,700
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,675
Closing costs
$2,361
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
53 Crew CT Whiteville, NC 3.0 3.0 1383 $1,700 $1.23 23d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $78,700 Pending 175 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,700 Active 175 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,700 Active 174 DOM
  4. 2026-04-07
    status Active
  5. 2026-04-02
    historical
  6. 2026-03-22
    price $78,700
  7. 2026-02-18
    price $87,480
  8. 2026-01-22
    price $97,200
  9. 2025-12-02
    listed $108,000 Active
  10. 2025-01-21
    soldstatus $112,300
  11. 2009-06-05
    historical
  12. 2008-06-05
    listed $10,750

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$784 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$784 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,408
− Property taxes
−$784
− Insurance
−$394
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,632
− Management
−$1,632
− Depreciation
−$2,289
Taxable income
$9,260
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,222
After-tax cash flow
$7,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whiteville City Schools
NCES district ID
3704920
Math proficiency
49% ▲ 7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,751
Composite
39.27/100
National rank
#3999
State rank
#81 of 178 in NC

Livability — Brunswick

Score
57/100
State rank
#611
US rank
#22196

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brunswick, NC
Population (ZIP)
17,833

Population outlook (Columbus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,250 people
By 2030
52,378 · -3.5%
By 2040
48,226 · -11.1%
By 2050
44,103 · -18.7%
By 2075
35,271 · -35.0%
By 2100
26,909 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbus

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.8% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.72%
Current HPI
252.022
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+632.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $78,700 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $87,480 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $97,200 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $108,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $112,300 Public Records
  • 2009-06-05 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2008-06-05 Listed $10,750 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $784 · +36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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