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754 Spencer St
A- Composite 80.06
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$74,900

754 Spencer St · Toledo, OH 43609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,183 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1909 3,485 sqft lot Est $86k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NEWER FORCED AIR FURNACE, UPDATED ELECTRICAL, YOUR REPAIRS COULD INCREASE VALUE! - GREAT FOR INVESTMENT!

Key facts

  • Generous room sizes
  • Fenced backyard
  • Spacious layout

Tags

LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHFENCED BACKYARDSPACIOUS LAYOUTGENEROUS ROOM SIZES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with alley access; Off-street parking (total 1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Sanitary sewer; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and a half levels (2 stories total); Not attached to other structures; No common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Storage; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main) approximately 12 x 12
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom (upper) approximately 10 x 12; Bedroom (upper) approximately 9 x 11
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Storage; 6 total rooms; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level and in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 7.5% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Walbridge Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,382 of 1,584 statewide, top 88%, 280 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $561 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 10 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $75k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.91%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,359
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
819 Lodge Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,190 (+1%) 1mo $65,000 $55 89
752 Hampton Ave 0.23mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,182 (-0%) 2mo $85,900 $73 80
1023 Shadowlawn Dr 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,193 (+1%) 2mo $72,000 $60 80
819 Geneva Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,212 (+2%) 1mo $105,000 $87 79
855 Brighton Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-10%) 2mo $97,500 $91 74
1402 Prouty Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,030 (-13%) 1mo $50,000 $49 65
624 Carlton St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,013 (-14%) 2mo $134,888 $133 64
317 Eldred Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,108 (-6%) 1mo $45,000 $41 60
1039 Wright Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,097 (-7%) 2mo $15,000 $14 57
537 Lynnhaven Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-8%) 1mo $150,000 $138 53
1152 Colton St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,046 (-12%) 1mo $65,000 $62 52
219 Storrs 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-11%) 2mo $81,800 $77 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$28,116
Equity at exit
$24,598
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
5.33×
Total profit
$90,733
Equity at exit
$31,949

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43609

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $950/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $637
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $390 -5% $369 +0% $348 +5% $327 +10% $306
Rent -10% $263 -5% $305 +0% $348 +5% $391 +10% $433
Rate -1.0pp $386 -0.5pp $367 base $348 +0.5pp $329 +1.0pp $309

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
724 Spencer St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1127 $1,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.07mi
705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1037 $900 $0.87 45d 1 0.10mi
532 Carlton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,050 $0.93 45d 1 0.26mi
523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,350 $1.05 15d 1 0.28mi
1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 992 $1,200 $1.21 15d 1 0.31mi
2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,049 $0.74 15d 1 0.39mi
1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 15d 1 0.41mi
2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 45d 1 0.43mi
1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,050 $0.94 45d 1 0.58mi
2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 22d 1 0.81mi
837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1158 $695 $0.60 24d 1 0.97mi
837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1178 $700 $0.59 45d 1 0.97mi
827 Colburn St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1092 $750 $0.69 45d 1 0.99mi
771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1086 $645 $0.59 24d 1 1.00mi
307 Danberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 988 $950 $0.96 45d 1 1.11mi
319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1341 $845 $0.63 45d 1 1.25mi
2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,478 $1.32 24d 1 1.26mi
1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 930 $900 $0.97 45d 1 1.35mi
581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 15d 1 1.36mi
569 Colima Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1253 $1,300 $1.04 24d 1 1.37mi
619 Durango Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1276 $1,350 $1.06 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $74,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$950 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,059 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$109/yr (+$9/mo · 11.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,929
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$950
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,034
− Management
−$1,034
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$3,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$759
After-tax cash flow
$3,418/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,404
Household income
$42,313
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
1603.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.75%
Current HPI
235.2515
Rent YoY
▲ 7.80%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.7% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $74,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $12,000 NORIS
  • 2019-05-24 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2018-11-16 Listed $44,900 NORIS
  • 2017-09-03 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2017-03-16 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2017-03-03 Listed $29,900 NORIS
  • 2016-02-08 Listed NORIS
  • 2013-08-23 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2012-03-02 Listed $23,900 NORIS
  • 2012-01-19 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2011-07-18 Listed $33,900 NORIS
  • 2011-07-12 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2010-07-17 Listed $34,900 NORIS
  • 2008-09-18 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2008-03-20 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2008-03-18 Listed $64,900 NORIS
  • 2007-09-27 Listed $64,900 NORIS
  • 2007-09-11 Sold (MLS) $12,000 NORIS
  • 2007-08-09 Listed $16,900 NORIS
  • 2005-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 2003-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1992-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $950 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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