12970 325th St · Hedrick, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great house with garage in the country
Key facts
- Built 1912
- Listed 17 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($647/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#465 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pekin Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #121 of 289 in IA (top 42%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Keokuk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Keokuk County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $16,671
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $54,535
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52563
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $972 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $85 | +0% $54 | +5% $23 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-23 | -5% $16 | +0% $54 | +5% $92 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $109 | -0.5pp $82 | base $54 | +0.5pp $25 | +1.0pp $-4 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 38-char remark
-
2026-06-04$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,098 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,412 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,098
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$933
- − Management
- −$933
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$1,209
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pekin Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1922440
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,890
- Composite
- 60.54/100
- National rank
- #838
- State rank
- #121 of 289 in IA
Livability — Hedrick
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #465
- US rank
- #10240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,824
Population outlook (Keokuk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,354 people
- By 2030
- 8,885 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 7,956 · -14.9%
- By 2050
- 7,123 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 5,777 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 4,808 · -48.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Italian 2% Scottish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Keokuk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.7% · R 75.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+119.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $110,000 FSBO.com
- 2017-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $49,875 Public Records
- 2016-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,098 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…