12636 Cass Rd · Cass, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming historic home in Cass, built in 1900 and updated in the mid-to-late 2000s. This two-story property features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, all located upstairs. Inside, enjoy original hardwood floors crafted by the Cass lumber mill, adding unique character and history. Updates include all-new windows and a newer heat pump with central A/C for year-round comfort. A small storage shed provides extra space for tools or equipment. This home is being sold ''as is'', offering a great opportunity to own a piece of Cass history and make it your own.
Key facts
- All new windows
- Central a/c
- Newer heat pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#351 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Pocahontas County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #19 of 55 in WV (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($605 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Pocahontas County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $88k implies a 386% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.10%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $58,326
- Equity at exit
- $71,017
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.38×
- Total profit
- $156,249
- Equity at exit
- $145,533
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24927
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $366/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-21$87,500 Active
-
2008-11-19soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $366 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $516 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 41.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$366
- − Insurance
- −$1,235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $2,116
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$508
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocahontas County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401140
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,035
- Composite
- 28.89/100
- National rank
- #6640
- State rank
- #19 of 55 in WV
Livability — Cass
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #26520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cass, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 517
Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,115 people
- By 2030
- 7,797 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 7,149 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 6,639 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 6,002 · -26.0%
- By 2100
- 5,379 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.8% · R 74.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.8 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Current HPI
- 205.8459
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+386.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — GVBOR
- 2026-03-21 Listed $87,500 GVBOR
- 2008-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $366 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…