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12636 Cass Rd
B Composite 74.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0

$87,500

12636 Cass Rd · Cass, WV 24927
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1900

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming historic home in Cass, built in 1900 and updated in the mid-to-late 2000s. This two-story property features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath, all located upstairs. Inside, enjoy original hardwood floors crafted by the Cass lumber mill, adding unique character and history. Updates include all-new windows and a newer heat pump with central A/C for year-round comfort. A small storage shed provides extra space for tools or equipment. This home is being sold ''as is'', offering a great opportunity to own a piece of Cass history and make it your own.

Key facts

  • All new windows
  • Central a/c
  • Newer heat pump

Tags

HISTORIC HOMEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSALL NEW WINDOWSNEWER HEAT PUMPCENTRAL A/CSMALL STORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#351 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Pocahontas County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #19 of 55 in WV (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($605 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
  • Pocahontas County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $88k implies a 386% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,187 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.10%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
3.38×
Total profit
$58,326
Equity at exit
$71,017
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$156,249
Equity at exit
$145,533

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24927

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $366/yr
Insurance
$36
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $750
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-21
    listed $87,500 Active
  3. 2008-11-19
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$366 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$516 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$150/yr (+$13/mo · 41.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,290
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$366
− Insurance
−$1,235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,063
− Management
−$1,063
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable income
$2,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$2,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocahontas County Schools
NCES district ID
5401140
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,035
Composite
28.89/100
National rank
#6640
State rank
#19 of 55 in WV

Livability — Cass

Score
46/100
State rank
#351
US rank
#26520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cass, WV
Population (ZIP)
517

Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,115 people
By 2030
7,797 · -3.9%
By 2040
7,149 · -11.9%
By 2050
6,639 · -18.2%
By 2075
6,002 · -26.0%
By 2100
5,379 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.8% · R 74.1% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-37.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.8 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.75%
Current HPI
205.8459
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+386.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending GVBOR
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $87,500 GVBOR
  • 2008-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $366 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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