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159 Jefferson Ave Multi-family
C Composite 59.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$829,000

159 Jefferson Ave · Everett, MA 02149
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,175 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1900 3,376 sqft lot $381/sqft · 7% below area Est $890k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained two family with nice fenced yard and garage. Perfect for owner occupant.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchens
  • Two car garage
  • 3,376 sq ft lot

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYSPACIOUS KITCHENSPRIVATE FRONT ENTRANCETWO CAR GARAGEWELCOMING FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $829k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $829k).
  • Recommended offer: $804k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#35 in MA, #1,665 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Everett (suburban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #289 of 302 in MA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,670 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (2,611 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,821/mo this rent would consume 124% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 2888% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Middlesex County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($804k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 196% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $275k; list at $829k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $804,130 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$889,533
List price
$829,000
Delta
-6.81%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Clay Ave 0.11mi 5/2.0 2,367 (+9%) 6mo $850,000 $359 76
16 Woodside Ave 0.34mi 5/2.0 2,100 (-3%) 8mo $735,000 $350 72
14 Russell St 0.25mi 5/2.0 1,974 (-9%) 6mo $780,000 $395 68
98 Walnut St 0.56mi 5/2.0 2,221 (+2%) 6mo $900,000 $405 65
35-37 Harvard St 0.38mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,200 (+1%) 5mo $919,000 $418 63
20 Fairmount St 0.46mi 5/2.0 2,341 (+8%) 3mo $940,000 $402 63
40 Wilbur St 0.30mi 5/3.0 2,372 (+9%) 5mo $730,000 $308 62
92 Irving St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,265 (+4%) 1mo $900,000 $397 59
39-41 Luke Rd 0.71mi 5/3.0 2,184 (+0%) 5mo $1,000,000 $458 58
109 Arnold St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,208 (+2%) 5mo $700,000 $317 58
38 Oakwood Ave 0.67mi 5/2.5 2,230 (+2%) 7mo $880,000 $395 57
58 Walnut St 0.63mi 5/3.0 2,036 (-6%) 6mo $890,000 $437 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-39,753
Equity at exit
$123,607
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$63,558
Equity at exit
$71,677

Cash invested: $232,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 02149

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
27.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,821 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,347
Tax from tax record
$655 /mo · $7,864/yr
Insurance
$345
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,852
Net cashflow
$1,620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,770
Max offer price $829,000
Occupancy floor 77%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $2,504
Total (3 units) $8,821

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$207,250
Closing costs
$24,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
54 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Everett, MA 4.0 1.0 2444 $3,200 $1.31 4d 1 0.44mi
20 Fairmount St Unit 2 Everett, MA 5.0 1.0 1400 $3,500 $2.50 43d 1 0.48mi
26 Arlington St #2 Everett, MA 4.0 2.0 2500 $3,700 $1.48 23d 1 0.54mi
95 Waverly Ave Unit 2 Everett, MA 5.0 2.0 1800 $4,199 $2.33 43d 1 0.57mi
9 Rock Valley Ave Everett, MA 4.0 3.0 1586 $3,895 $2.46 17d 1 0.61mi
9 Rock Valley Ave Everett, MA 4.0 3.0 1586 $3,995 $2.52 43d 1 0.61mi
33 George St Unit 2 Everett, MA 4.0 1.0 1560 $3,400 $2.18 43d 1 0.65mi
32 Irving St Unit 1 Everett, MA 4.0 2.0 1500 $4,500 $3.00 24d 1 0.74mi
47 Pleasant St Everett, MA 6.0 1.5 1814 $4,500 $2.48 43d 1 0.80mi
91 Waverly St Unit 2 Everett, MA 5.0 1.5 1650 $4,200 $2.55 17d 1 0.83mi
216 Vane St Unit 1 Revere, MA 4.0 2.5 2300 $4,050 $1.76 17d 1 0.93mi
109 Walnut St Unit 109 Malden, MA 4.0 1.5 2338 $4,200 $1.80 10d 1 1.10mi
10 Forsyth St Chelsea, MA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1176 $2,878 $2.45 4d 3 1.14mi
19 Bellingham Ave Unit 19 Everett, MA 4.0 2.0 1400 $4,300 $3.07 1d 1 1.18mi
10 Pearl St Unit 2 Everett, MA 4.0 2.0 1685 $4,200 $2.49 24d 1 1.22mi
243 Malden St Unit 2 Revere, MA 4.0 3.0 2200 $4,250 $1.93 17d 1 1.36mi
8 Parsonage Rd Malden, MA 4.0 2.0 2400 $3,700 $1.54 17d 1 1.36mi
21 Converse Ave Unit 1 Malden, MA 4.0 1.5 2000 $3,500 $1.75 17d 1 1.38mi
34 Hooper St Unit 2 Chelsea, MA 4.0 1.0 1400 $4,200 $3.00 43d 1 1.45mi
188 Main St Unit 2 Malden, MA 4.0 2.0 1500 $3,200 $2.13 24d 1 1.49mi
39 Baker St Unit 41 Malden, MA 4.0 1.0 1800 $3,100 $1.72 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $829,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $829,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $829,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $829,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $829,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $829,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $829,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $829,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $829,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $829,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $829,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $829,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $829,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $829,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2008-06-03
    soldstatus $275,000 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    Well maintained two family with nice fenced yard and garage. Perfect for owner occupant.

  16. 2008-03-31
    historical 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    Well maintained two family with nice fenced yard and garage. Perfect for owner occupant.

  17. 2008-03-11
    listed $279,900 89-char remark
    Show marketing remark (89 chars)

    Well maintained two family with nice fenced yard and garage. Perfect for owner occupant.

  18. 1998-12-15
    soldstatus $190,000
  19. 1998-11-30
    soldstatus $190,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    DELEADED 2 1/2 FAMILY. LARGE 6 ROOM OWNERS UNIT, VINYL SIDED, ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES, READY FOR IMMEADIATE OCCUPANCY. GOOD LOCATION IN THE WOODLAWN AREA

  20. 1998-10-26
    historical 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    DELEADED 2 1/2 FAMILY. LARGE 6 ROOM OWNERS UNIT, VINYL SIDED, ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES, READY FOR IMMEADIATE OCCUPANCY. GOOD LOCATION IN THE WOODLAWN AREA

  21. 1998-10-02
    listed $192,500 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    DELEADED 2 1/2 FAMILY. LARGE 6 ROOM OWNERS UNIT, VINYL SIDED, ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES, READY FOR IMMEADIATE OCCUPANCY. GOOD LOCATION IN THE WOODLAWN AREA

  22. 1988-02-17
    soldstatus $186,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,864 · $655/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,030 · $753/mo
Expected delta
+$1,166/yr (+$97/mo · 14.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$105,852
− Mortgage interest
−$46,437
− Property taxes
−$7,864
− Insurance
−$4,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,468
− Management
−$8,468
− Depreciation
−$24,116
Taxable income
$6,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,525
After-tax cash flow
$17,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Everett
NCES district ID
2504770
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$51,780
Composite
18.46/100
National rank
#8926
State rank
#289 of 302 in MA

Livability — Everett

Score
80/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#1665

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C Employment A Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Everett, MA
County
Middlesex County · 1,437,704 people
City population
50,045
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
Population (ZIP)
50,045
Household income
$85,218
Rent vs Own
62.8% rent · 37.2% own
Severe rent burden
2888.0

Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,740,269 people
By 2030
1,817,187 · +4.4%
By 2040
1,963,195 · +12.8%
By 2050
2,087,461 · +20.0%
By 2075
2,344,036 · +34.7%
By 2100
2,383,776 · +37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 23% Black 12% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Estonian 10% Hispanic 5% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
45% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
37% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex

2024 margin
Solid D (+39.5) · D 68.5% · R 29.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.3pp toward D · 2008: 30.1pp · 2024: 39.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+39.5 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+38.1 2012: D+26.9 2008: D+30.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.43%
Current HPI
361.8972
Rent YoY
▲ 2.03%
Metro
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2008-06-03 Sold (MLS) $275,000 MLS PIN
  • 2008-03-31 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 2008-03-11 Listed $279,900 MLS PIN
  • 1998-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 1998-11-30 Sold (MLS) $190,000 MLS PIN
  • 1998-10-26 Listing Removed MLS PIN
  • 1998-10-02 Listed $192,500 MLS PIN
  • 1988-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $186,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,864 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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