114-116 Rice St · Louisa, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare chance to own two homes on one purchase! This unique offering includes two rental properties, perfect for generating multiple streams of income or creating a flexible living arrangement. Whether you're an investor or a buyer thinking outside the box, this setup delivers both opportunity and potential. Being sold as is. Agent owned.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 58 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Mixed zoning
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof; Built on lot of approximately 0.12 acres
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Space heater; Window unit(s) for cooling; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.0% in Louisa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#381 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lawrence County (town): math 23% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #95 of 165 in KY (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lawrence County High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #40 of 254 statewide, top 19%, 738 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.91%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,773
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -57.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 East Sycamore St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 916 (+4%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $55 | 70 |
| 206 Powhatan St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+13%) | 10mo | $19,900 | $20 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $37,126
- Equity at exit
- $52,787
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $100,264
- Equity at exit
- $101,018
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41230
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $854 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $293/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $202 | -5% $181 | +0% $160 | +5% $138 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $92 | -5% $126 | +0% $160 | +5% $193 | +10% $227 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $179 | base $160 | +0.5pp $140 | +1.0pp $120 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$79,000 Active 338-char remark
-
2018-04-20soldstatus $25,000
-
1998-04-01soldstatus $16,667
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $293 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$352/yr (+$29/mo · 120.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$293
- − Insurance
- −$1,172
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$820
- − Management
- −$820
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $764
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence County
- NCES district ID
- 2103240
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,668
- Composite
- 26.55/100
- National rank
- #7189
- State rank
- #95 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #381
- US rank
- #18153
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisa, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,462 people
- By 2030
- 15,038 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 14,142 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 13,292 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 11,353 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 9,417 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.2) · D 15.9% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -67.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.2 2020: R+63.2 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+44.3 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.17%
- Current HPI
- 177.9918
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+350.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $75,000 EKAR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $79,000 EKAR
- 2018-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,667 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $293 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…