7609 Lockwood Ave · Burbank, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your perfect white picket fence home is here! Great starter home remodeled back in 2015, 3 bedrooms with plenty of closet space and 1 bathroom. Kitchen has newer stainless steel appliances and ample room for a dining room set. Living room and bedrooms all have hardwood flooring. Laundry room equipped with washer and dryer, with easy access to the backyard. Yard has room for your summer patio set for your entertainment needs. Fully fenced home from front to back. 2 car garage with plenty of storage available. LOW TAXES. Walking distance to schools, parks and shopping centers nearby. Do not hesitate to make an offer today.
Key facts
- Kitchen
- White picket fence
- Family room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer and storm sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (house is 61–70 years old)
- Construction: Brick, cedar, and clad trim exterior; Assessor-sourced living area
- Exterior features: Patio; Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 125
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 12) with ceramic tile flooring
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (13 x 12) with hardwood floors; Bedroom on main level (12 x 11) with hardwood floors; Bedroom on main level (10 x 10) with hardwood floors
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms and other rooms as noted; Ceramic tile in kitchen and laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level (10 x 8) with ceramic tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($888/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $254k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Burbank — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#132 in IL, #2,422 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220 (suburban): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #420 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: J B Kennedy Elem School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 227 students, 0% FRL); Liberty Junior High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 1,190 students, 0% FRL); Reavis High School (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 1,986 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $210k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,546
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7616 S Lorel Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,009 (+3%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $218 | 84 |
| 5301 State Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,027 (+4%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $268 | 70 |
| 7701 Latrobe Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (+11%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $262 | 69 |
| 7927 Lotus Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (+1%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $241 | 64 |
| 5145 State Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $256 | 63 |
| 7814 Major Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+7%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $270 | 59 |
| 7824 Lavergne Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+7%) | 9mo | $242,500 | $230 | 59 |
| 7650 Lavergne Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 874 (-11%) | 8mo | $272,000 | $311 | 58 |
| 7808 Laramie Ave | 0.27mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+14%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $259 | 51 |
| 7843 Massasoit Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+7%) | 1mo | $289,000 | $274 | 48 |
| 7840 Massasoit Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+7%) | 6mo | $274,000 | $259 | 46 |
| 7704 S Kilpatrick Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+10%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $292 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-38,885
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-27,242
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60459
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$491 /mo · $5,895/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $227 | -5% $150 | +0% $74 | +5% $-2 | +10% $-79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-31 | +0% $74 | +5% $179 | +10% $283 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $210 | -0.5pp $143 | base $74 | +0.5pp $4 | +1.0pp $-67 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7732 Lotus Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $2,475 | $2.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7732 Lotus Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,475 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 7847 Melvina Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $3,900 | $3.69 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6101 W 82nd Pl Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,900 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-16status $269,900 Pending 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $269,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07status $269,900 Pending 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $269,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $269,900
-
2026-04-01$275,000 Active
-
2021-08-24soldstatus $210,000
-
2021-08-10soldstatus $210,000 Closed 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Your perfect white picket fence home is here! Great starter home remodeled back in 2015, 3 bedrooms with plenty of closet space and 1 bathroom. Kitchen has newer stainless steel appliances and ample room for a dining room set. Living room and bedrooms all have hardwood flooring. Laundry room equipped with washer and dryer, with easy access to the backyard. Yard has room for your summer patio set for your entertainment needs. Fully fenced home from front to back. 2 car garage with plenty of storage available. LOW TAXES. Walking distance to schools, parks and shopping centers nearby. Do not hesitate to make an offer today.
-
2021-07-14status Pending 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Your perfect white picket fence home is here! Great starter home remodeled back in 2015, 3 bedrooms with plenty of closet space and 1 bathroom. Kitchen has newer stainless steel appliances and ample room for a dining room set. Living room and bedrooms all have hardwood flooring. Laundry room equipped with washer and dryer, with easy access to the backyard. Yard has room for your summer patio set for your entertainment needs. Fully fenced home from front to back. 2 car garage with plenty of storage available. LOW TAXES. Walking distance to schools, parks and shopping centers nearby. Do not hesitate to make an offer today.
-
2021-07-07status Pending 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Your perfect white picket fence home is here! Great starter home remodeled back in 2015, 3 bedrooms with plenty of closet space and 1 bathroom. Kitchen has newer stainless steel appliances and ample room for a dining room set. Living room and bedrooms all have hardwood flooring. Laundry room equipped with washer and dryer, with easy access to the backyard. Yard has room for your summer patio set for your entertainment needs. Fully fenced home from front to back. 2 car garage with plenty of storage available. LOW TAXES. Walking distance to schools, parks and shopping centers nearby. Do not hesitate to make an offer today.
-
2021-06-22$234,900 New 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Your perfect white picket fence home is here! Great starter home remodeled back in 2015, 3 bedrooms with plenty of closet space and 1 bathroom. Kitchen has newer stainless steel appliances and ample room for a dining room set. Living room and bedrooms all have hardwood flooring. Laundry room equipped with washer and dryer, with easy access to the backyard. Yard has room for your summer patio set for your entertainment needs. Fully fenced home from front to back. 2 car garage with plenty of storage available. LOW TAXES. Walking distance to schools, parks and shopping centers nearby. Do not hesitate to make an offer today.
-
2015-05-13soldstatus $139,000
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2015-05-01soldstatus $139,000 Closed Sale 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
NEWLY REMODELED 3 BDRM, 1 BATH BRICK RANCH W/ EVEN THE WHITE PICKET FENCE IN THE FRONT. NEWLY PAINTED. GORGEOUS NEW KIT. W/ MAPLE CABS, GRANITE, NEW SS APPLS W/ ADJ. EAT-IN. REFINISHED HRDWD. NEW DOORS & TRIM. NEW LIGHTING & FANS. NEWER BATH. LNDRY RM, REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & NEWER ROOF. REAR FENCED YRD W/ CONCRETE PATIO (19' X 10'). CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPS & PARK.
-
2015-03-14historical Contingent 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
NEWLY REMODELED 3 BDRM, 1 BATH BRICK RANCH W/ EVEN THE WHITE PICKET FENCE IN THE FRONT. NEWLY PAINTED. GORGEOUS NEW KIT. W/ MAPLE CABS, GRANITE, NEW SS APPLS W/ ADJ. EAT-IN. REFINISHED HRDWD. NEW DOORS & TRIM. NEW LIGHTING & FANS. NEWER BATH. LNDRY RM, REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & NEWER ROOF. REAR FENCED YRD W/ CONCRETE PATIO (19' X 10'). CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPS & PARK.
-
2015-03-11$134,900 New 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
NEWLY REMODELED 3 BDRM, 1 BATH BRICK RANCH W/ EVEN THE WHITE PICKET FENCE IN THE FRONT. NEWLY PAINTED. GORGEOUS NEW KIT. W/ MAPLE CABS, GRANITE, NEW SS APPLS W/ ADJ. EAT-IN. REFINISHED HRDWD. NEW DOORS & TRIM. NEW LIGHTING & FANS. NEWER BATH. LNDRY RM, REPLACEMENT WINDOWS & NEWER ROOF. REAR FENCED YRD W/ CONCRETE PATIO (19' X 10'). CLOSE TO SCHOOLS, SHOPS & PARK.
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2005-09-30soldstatus $190,000
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2001-11-02soldstatus $117,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,895 · $491/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,011 · $501/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 2.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$5,895
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$3,507
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$842
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220
- NCES district ID
- 1733270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,732
- Composite
- 17.94/100
- National rank
- #8994
- State rank
- #420 of 620 in IL
Livability — Burbank
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #2422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burbank, IL
- City population
- 28,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,822
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 21% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Armenian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Arabic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.56%
- Current HPI
- 223.2294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+130.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $269,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listed $275,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-10 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-22 Listed $234,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-01 Sold (MLS) $139,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-14 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-11 Listed $134,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2001-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2023): $5,895 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…