10525 Somerset #41 · Bellflower, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent Location - Good Transportation, Shopping ETC. Good for The Owner User or Investor. All buyers must be approved by park management. Gated 55 plus Community.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 1973
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.5% in Bellflower — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#483 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Bellflower Unified (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #667 of 1,400 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.23%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,000
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -28.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $53,008
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.83×
- Total profit
- $133,841
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90706
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,247 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $1,091
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,159 | -5% $1,125 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,057 | +10% $1,023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $914 | -5% $1,002 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,180 | +10% $1,269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,141 | -0.5pp $1,116 | base $1,091 | +0.5pp $1,065 | +1.0pp $1,039 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10103 Washington St Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 458 | $1,900 | $4.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 15508 Halcourt Ave Norwalk, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 11037 Ferina St Norwalk, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,995 | $3.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10144 Alondra Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,450 | $3.01 | 44d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 15561 Cornuta Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $2,000 | $3.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10132 Alondra Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 559 | $2,500 | $4.47 | 8d | 5 | 0.76mi |
| 16133 Woodruff Ave Unit 09 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,795 | $2.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 16108 Cornuta Ave Unit 16108 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,200 | $3.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13817 Studebaker Rd Unit 3 Norwalk, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,295 | $4.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 10020 Alondra Blvd Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,925 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11153 Ferina St Norwalk, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 657 | $2,225 | $3.39 | 8d | 5 | 0.86mi |
| 16205 Cornuta Ave Unit 5 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,800 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 16310 Cornuta Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,985 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16131 Eucalyptus Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $2,463 | $2.90 | 44d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 14829 Longworth Ave Norwalk, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 404 | $1,800 | $4.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 16227 Eucalyptus Ave Unit 312-15 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,055 | $2.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16227 Eucalyptus Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,482 | $2.92 | 12d | 5 | 1.00mi |
| 14812 Gridley Rd Norwalk, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $2,400 | $5.33 | 8d | 6 | 1.11mi |
| 9649 Harvard St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,680 | $3.72 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9735 Oak St Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $3,775 | $4.40 | 3d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 10000 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,975 | $3.50 | 2d | 20 | 1.28mi |
| 14003 Charlemagne Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 499 | $1,900 | $3.81 | 8d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9719 Priscilla St Downey, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,500 | $3.75 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 13420 Harvest Ave Norwalk, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 365 | $1,800 | $4.93 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9354 Greenwell St Unit 3 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,765 | $3.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 9437 Harvard St Unit 9437 Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 462 | $2,250 | $4.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 14339 Flallon Ave Norwalk, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,000 | $2.78 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9453 Los Angeles St Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 14505 Alburtis Ave Norwalk, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9999 Imperial Hwy Downey, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,888 | $3.70 | 3d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-03$99,000 Active 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Excellent Location - Good Transportation, Shopping ETC. Good for The Owner User or Investor. All buyers must be approved by park management. Gated 55 plus Community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,157
- − Management
- −$2,157
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $12,246
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,939
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal to buyers and renters.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Minor landscaping — some overgrown plants
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — enhances both resale and rental value
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value
- Both landscaping improvements — enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · some overgrown plants | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — enhances both resale and rental value ↑
- Both replace bathroom fixtures — enhances both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscaping improvements — enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellflower Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,090
- Composite
- 38.25/100
- National rank
- #8559
- State rank
- #667 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Bellflower
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #16431
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellflower, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 76,819
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,819
- Household income
- $78,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4049.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 18% White 13% Asian 12% Black 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -796.81%
- Current HPI
- 407.4327
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.79%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $99,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $170 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…