112 Frazier St · Buchanan Lake Village, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Spacious lot
- Lake buchanan access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (19.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (30.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.2% in Buchanan Lake Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,160 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Burnet CISD (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #465 of 826 in TX (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Llano County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.6%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Llano County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.66%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $387,787
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -51.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Frazier St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,800 (0%) | 16mo | $875,000 | $486 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-40,451
- Equity at exit
- $32,059
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-49,186
- Equity at exit
- $22,906
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78672
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,155/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-207
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-05-06status Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2026-03-05historical Active Under Contract 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2026-02-21price $190,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2026-02-21price $190,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-11-30price $200,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-11-30price $200,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-11-04status Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-04-15price $220,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-04-15price $220,000 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-04-02$225,000 Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-04-02$225,000 Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Solid 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Tow, TX with tons of potential! Built in 1973, this 1,800 sq. ft. property sits on a spacious lot and features a 576 sq. ft. detached garage with an attached carport—perfect for a workshop, boat storage, or extra parking. The home offers a classic layout with generously sized rooms, a large kitchen, and original finishes ready for your personal touch. Great bones, just needs updating to make it shine! Whether you're looking for a full-time residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity, this property is a great find in a peaceful lakeside community. Just minutes from Lake Buchanan access. Priced to sell—bring your vision and make it your own!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,155 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,477 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,322/yr (+$110/mo · 61.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,155
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,274
- − Management
- −$1,274
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$5,895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,063/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burnet CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812220
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,890
- Composite
- 32.09/100
- National rank
- #5811
- State rank
- #465 of 826 in TX
Livability — Buchanan Lake Village
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1160
- US rank
- #20291
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buchanan Lake Village, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 679
Population outlook (Llano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,847 people
- By 2030
- 21,350 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 22,281 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 23,173 · +11.2%
- By 2075
- 25,526 · +22.4%
- By 2100
- 25,866 · +24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 10% Serbian 5% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Llano
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.2% · R 80.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+60.1 2016: R+62.2 2012: R+60.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.56%
- Current HPI
- 238.6965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-15.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $190,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-21 Price Changed $190,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-30 Price Changed $200,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-30 Price Changed $200,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-11-04 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $220,000 Unlock MLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $220,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-04-02 Listed $225,000 HLMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-04-02 Listed $225,000 Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,155 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…