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18128 Fleming St
C- Composite 51.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$23,000

18128 Fleming St · Detroit, MI 48234
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1926 3,485 sqft lot Est $31k · 27% under ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Large lot
  • Full basement

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYBONUS ROOMFULL BASEMENTLARGE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $23k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 45.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $21,620 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.18%
Cap rate
45.66%
Cash-on-cash
140.59%
DSCR
7.26
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,350
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18128 Fleming St 0.00mi 2/1.0 950 (0%) 1mo $21,500 $23 99
17888 Marx St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 937 (-1%) 2mo $34,000 $36 78
18547 Anglin St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+5%) 6mo $93,000 $93 71
18877 Fleming St 0.28mi 2/1.0 870 (-8%) 3mo $9,900 $11 71
17569 Orleans St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (+6%) 6mo $85,000 $85 60
17955 Charest St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 880 (-7%) 4mo $51,800 $59 58
17139 Mackay St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 896 (-6%) 1mo $30,000 $33 57
17892 Mitchell St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,051 (+11%) 7mo $32,500 $31 52
17489 Saint Aubin St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,072 (+13%) 6mo $70,000 $65 50
19163 Orleans St 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+14%) 2mo $32,500 $30 50
19403 Anglin St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+5%) 7mo $22,500 $23 49
17138 Marx St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,089 (+15%) 2mo $26,500 $24 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.61×
Total profit
$48,986
Equity at exit
$3,429
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.44×
Total profit
$125,163
Equity at exit
$1,989

Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$121
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $675/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $236
Max offer price $23,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $768 -5% $761 +0% $754 +5% $748 +10% $741
Rent -10% $660 -5% $707 +0% $754 +5% $802 +10% $849
Rate -1.0pp $766 -0.5pp $760 base $754 +0.5pp $749 +1.0pp $742

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,750
Closing costs
$690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 0.09mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 0.15mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.16mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.35mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.37mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.81mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 0.89mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.90mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.91mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 0.96mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.17mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 1.19mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.33mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.42mi
406 W Goldengate St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.45mi
404 W Golden Gate Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 1.45mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 1.46mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 1.46mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 17d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  2. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  3. 2026-03-24
    price $23,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  4. 2026-03-24
    status Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  5. 2026-03-24
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  6. 2026-03-24
    price $23,000
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  7. 2026-02-07
    status Pending 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  8. 2026-02-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  9. 2026-01-24
    price $26,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  10. 2026-01-23
    price $26,000
  11. 2026-01-10
    price $29,000 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  12. 2026-01-10
    price $29,000
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  13. 2025-12-22
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  14. 2025-12-22
    listed $35,000 Active 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Start the year off right with a fix and flip or with an income generating rental property in a nice neighborhood. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with a bonus room in the upper level that can be used as an additional bedroom. Full basement and large lot adjacent to house great for gatherings! CASH ONLY. SOLD AS IS. Probate sale, court approval required.

  15. 2025-11-07
    status Pending
  16. 2025-05-23
    status Pending
  17. 2025-05-23
    status Pending
  18. 2025-05-22
    historical
  19. 2025-05-22
    historical
  20. 2025-05-22
    historical
  21. 2025-05-15
    price $29,000
  22. 2025-05-14
    price $29,000
  23. 2025-02-02
    price $34,000
  24. 2025-02-01
    price $34,000
  25. 2025-01-15
    listed $38,000 Active
  26. 2025-01-15
    listed $38,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$675 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$675 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,292
− Mortgage interest
−$1,288
− Property taxes
−$675
− Insurance
−$115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$669
Taxable income
$9,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,222
After-tax cash flow
$6,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-39.5% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-22 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $23,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-24 Price Changed $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $26,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-10 Price Changed $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-02 Price Changed $34,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-01 Price Changed $34,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-15 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-15 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $675 · -53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…