751 Dahlia Dr · South Venice, FL 34293

$105,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 683 sqft · Manufactured public records · 723 Days on market

Built 1970 4,165 sqft lot $254/mo HOA · 13% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.4/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

Key facts

• Split floorplan
• Large pantry
• 4,165 sq ft lot

Tags

• SPLIT FLOORPLAN
• UPDATED KITCHEN CABINETRY
• LARGE PANTRY
• GREAT SIZE FLORIDA ROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
• Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#549 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1247 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 723 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $11k; list at $105k implies a 855% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 723 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.91% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 26.33%
• DSCR: 2.17
• GRM: 4.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-7,205
• Equity at exit: $15,656

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.85×
• Total profit: $-4,384
• Equity at exit: $9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34293

• Rents YoY: 0.7%
• Active inventory: 1247
• Price-to-rent: 4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,001 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax from tax record: −$88 /mo · $1,052/yr
• Insurance: −$44
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$254
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,725

Max offer price $105,000

Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $26,250
• Closing costs: $3,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $254 · $3,048/yr

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $105,000 Active 723 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $105,000 Active 722 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $105,000 Active 720 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $105,000 Active 718 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $105,000 Active 717 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $105,000 Active 715 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $105,000 Active 714 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $105,000 Active 712 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $105,000 Active 709 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 708 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 707 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 706 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 705 DOM
14. 2026-01-01
    status Active 573-char remark

    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

15. 2025-12-31
    historical 573-char remark

    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

16. 2025-10-25
    price $105,000 573-char remark

    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

17. 2024-11-06
    price $118,000 573-char remark

    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

18. 2024-06-24
    listed $128,000 Active 573-char remark

    Show marketing remark (573 chars)

    A great deal in desirable Japanese Gardens! This 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath has laminate flooring throughout, with vinyl in the bathroom and carpet in the Florida Room. The home has a split floorplan. The guest bedroom has an attached 1/2 bath. The kitchen is open to the living and dining room and has a large pantry. A great feature of the home is the large Florida Room, about 200sf with an wall unit a/c. Japanese Gardens is an active 55+ community located about 2 miles from Manasota Beach and close to the fun, shopping, and dining of Downtown Englewood and Downtown Venice.

19. 1982-12-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,052 · $88/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,052 · $88/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,016
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,882
• − Property taxes: −$1,052
• − Insurance: −$5,644
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,921
• − Management: −$1,921
• − HOA: −$3,048
• − Depreciation: −$3,055
• Taxable income: $1,494
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$359
• After-tax cash flow: $2,263/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sarasota
• NCES district ID: 1201680
• Math proficiency: 63% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 63% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $51,167
• Composite: 53.68/100
• National rank: #1428
• State rank: #7 of 73 in FL

Livability — South Venice

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #549
• US rank: #10377

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Venice, FL
• County: Sarasota County · 448,376 people
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 50,278
• Household income: $90,038
• Rent vs Own: 11.3% rent · 88.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 548.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 452,380 people
• By 2030: 474,175 · +4.8%
• By 2040: 511,577 · +13.1%
• By 2050: 541,467 · +19.7%
• By 2075: 604,947 · +33.7%
• By 2100: 621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

• 2024 margin: R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -355.64%
• Current HPI: 270.5242
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.70%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+854.5% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-25 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-11-06 Price Changed $118,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-06-24 Listed $128,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1982-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,052 · -12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.