115 Riverdale Ct · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.21%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,406
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Brooklyn St | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,077 (+5%) | 10mo | $187,500 | $174 | 71 |
| 241 8th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (+8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $82 | 70 |
| 113 Lincoln Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,022 (-0%) | 12mo | $133,500 | $131 | 66 |
| 325 15th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-1%) | 7mo | $133,000 | $131 | 65 |
| 120 Grant St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-5%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 254 5th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 970 (-6%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $103 | 64 |
| 210 E 15th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,117 (+9%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $116 | 59 |
| 345 Princeton Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,041 (+2%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 211 Harvard Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,165 (+14%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $155 | 54 |
| 327 8th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,155 (+13%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $56 | 51 |
| 480 10th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (+6%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $120 | 51 |
| 426 11th St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,147 (+12%) | 6mo | $152,000 | $133 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,413
- Equity at exit
- $14,090
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $27,615
- Equity at exit
- $8,171
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,058 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,962/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 116 Water St Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 334 Washington Ave Unit 102F Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 129 Park Meadow Ln Elyria, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,179 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 630 Abbe Rd S Unit 3 Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,025 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 630 Abbe Rd S Unit 23 Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 138 Mendel Ct #1 Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 10425 Middle Ave Elyria, OH | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,209 | $0.85 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-04-27$94,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,962 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,962 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,691
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$1,962
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable income
- $183
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$44
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,600/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-27 Listed $94,500 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,962 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…