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921 Corbin St
C Composite 56.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

921 Corbin St · Rockford, IL 61102
15 bd · 9.0 ba · 2,098 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 1900

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Live rent free with this large 3 unit property. Large garage 880 square Foot garage enough for 6 cars made block stone and mortar. Driveway and a large back yard. Quiet safe neighborhood across from church. close to Main St. and the Rock river where projects are being built and many improvements in the community. properties are increasing rapidly in the area. The property consists of one two bedroom apartment with one bath, a nice size kitchen, nice size living room on the front part the first floor. Also on the first floor rear part is an apartment with 1 bedroom, one bath, kitchen, living room. On the second floor there is a 2 bedroom, one bath, kitchen, living room. Large basement for

Key facts

  • Large garage
  • Driveway to garage
  • Large lot

Tags

LARGE GARAGEQUIET SAFE NEIGHBORHOODLARGE BACK YARDDRIVEWAY TO GARAGELARGE LOTLARGE BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 15-bed/9.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.54%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,800
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$23,010
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61102

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,970/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,204
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $139,000 Active 861-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,970 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,563 · $214/mo
Expected delta
+$593/yr (+$49/mo · 30.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,145
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,970
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,532
− Management
−$1,532
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$1,587
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$381
After-tax cash flow
$3,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
City population
147,297
Population (ZIP)
16,620

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.81%
Current HPI
189.9634
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,970 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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