🏷️ Likely Rental
1314 Adams St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Fenced-in backyard
- 9,148 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: DIVISION NORTH; Cross streets: Woodbridge / S Mason
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Assigned paved parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation; Built area above grade: 1,145 (finished)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; City lot; Paved public road access; Garage(s) on the property
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.54%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,265
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 S Bates St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (-7%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $39 | 82 |
| 719 S Bond St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,191 (+4%) | 0mo | $52,500 | $44 | 76 |
| 1415 Lyon St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (-7%) | 0mo | $74,900 | $70 | 71 |
| 144 Lockwood St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+2%) | 4mo | $94,000 | $81 | 67 |
| 250 Goetz St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-2%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $71 | 65 |
| 623 N Woodbridge St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,217 (+6%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $35 | 61 |
| 1610 Cleveland St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,279 (+12%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $35 | 60 |
| 1016 Thurman St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+7%) | 3mo | $69,900 | $57 | 56 |
| 703 N Bond St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 2mo | $9,000 | $9 | 56 |
| 1122 Miller St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+6%) | 5mo | $26,000 | $21 | 56 |
| 1511 Osborn St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,041 (-9%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $86 | 54 |
| 251 Trier St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,262 (+10%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $116 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $28,346
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 56.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.87×
- Total profit
- $73,956
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,174/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $541
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $567 | -5% $554 | +0% $541 | +5% $528 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $452 | -5% $497 | +0% $541 | +5% $586 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $564 | -0.5pp $553 | base $541 | +0.5pp $530 | +1.0pp $518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $45,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-14price $45,000
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-02status Active
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-02status Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-22status Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-25price $46,000 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-25price $46,000
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-27$49,000 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-27$49,000 Active
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Saginaw featuring an attached garage and a fenced-in backyard—great for added convenience and outdoor enjoyment. The home also includes a newer hot water heater, offering added peace of mind. A separate utility room off the garage provides excellent space for a mudroom, storage, or added functionality. Currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month lease, this property offers flexibility for investors seeking immediate rental income or buyers planning for future owner occupancy. A solid opportunity with great features and potential—schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,174 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,174 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,174
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,086
- − Management
- −$1,086
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $6,175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,482
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-02 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $46,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $46,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,174 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…