3503 35th St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property looking for new owner! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is currently leased, and professionally managed. Heavily desired location close to Texas Tech, and other amenities. Take a look before it's gone!
Key facts
- 7,725 sq ft lot
- Built 1954
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Water connected; Public sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot
- Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard; Front yard; City lot; Subdivided lot; Asphalt road access; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Maedgen El (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 323 students, 91% FRL); Hutchinson Middle (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #158 of 1,662 statewide, top 10%, 833 students, 49% FRL); Lubbock H S (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.38%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-13,453
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,991
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79413
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,886/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $264 | -5% $223 | +0% $182 | +5% $141 | +10% $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $66 | -5% $124 | +0% $182 | +5% $240 | +10% $298 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $219 | base $182 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3221 33rd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $925 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3618 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3620 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3712 37th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3505 29th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3404 42nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3126 38th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,195 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3114 37th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3116 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3812 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3813 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,295 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3114 40th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,375 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3108 39th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $1,295 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3101 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1250 | $999 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3409 27th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3019 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1573 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3302 28th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1660 | $1,725 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3709 28th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3612 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3319 26th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3502 26th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3418 26th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3007 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1353 | $1,325 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3016 30th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $975 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2823 33rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3019 42nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3505 46th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1686 | $1,550 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3714 26th St Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3807 26th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2501 Louisville Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,099 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4103 30th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3105 44th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,375 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3417 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,550 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2801 36th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $2,700 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3813 25th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,400 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3712 47th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1767 | $1,400 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4304 32nd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3709 23rd St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2712 37th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,300 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2812 43rd St Unit 6 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $700 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 106-char remark
-
2026-06-02$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,886 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,654 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$768/yr (+$64/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,886
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,409
- − Management
- −$1,409
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,343
- Household income
- $69,400
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.52%
- Current HPI
- 239.8854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+11.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $145,000 LARMLS
- 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-08-13 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
- 2021-04-29 Listed $130,000 LARMLS
- 2012-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,886 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…