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3503 35th St
C- Composite 51.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3503 35th St · Lubbock, TX 79413
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1954 7,725 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property looking for new owner! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is currently leased, and professionally managed. Heavily desired location close to Texas Tech, and other amenities. Take a look before it's gone!

Key facts

  • 7,725 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available and connected; Water connected; Public sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Back yard; Front yard; City lot; Subdivided lot; Asphalt road access; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Maedgen El (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 323 students, 91% FRL); Hutchinson Middle (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #158 of 1,662 statewide, top 10%, 833 students, 49% FRL); Lubbock H S (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-13,453
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,991
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79413

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,468 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,886/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $264 -5% $223 +0% $182 +5% $141 +10% $100
Rent -10% $66 -5% $124 +0% $182 +5% $240 +10% $298
Rate -1.0pp $255 -0.5pp $219 base $182 +0.5pp $144 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3221 33rd St Unit A Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 982 $925 $0.94 14d 1 0.30mi
3618 32nd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 924 $1,650 $1.79 44d 1 0.31mi
3620 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,200 $1.05 21d 1 0.32mi
3712 37th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1672 $2,100 $1.26 44d 1 0.34mi
3505 29th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,300 $1.26 14d 1 0.39mi
3404 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1475 $1,500 $1.02 44d 1 0.40mi
3126 38th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 1248 $1,195 $0.96 44d 1 0.43mi
3114 37th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 988 $1,095 $1.11 44d 1 0.43mi
3116 33rd St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 912 $1,195 $1.31 44d 1 0.45mi
3812 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,500 $1.03 21d 1 0.46mi
3813 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,295 $1.27 21d 1 0.47mi
3114 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1488 $1,375 $0.92 44d 1 0.49mi
3108 39th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,295 $0.86 21d 1 0.50mi
3101 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 3.0 1250 $999 $0.80 44d 1 0.51mi
3409 27th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 21d 1 0.52mi
3019 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.5 1573 $1,500 $0.95 14d 1 0.53mi
3302 28th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.5 1660 $1,725 $1.04 21d 1 0.54mi
3709 28th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1164 $1,400 $1.20 21d 1 0.54mi
3612 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,850 $1.10 44d 1 0.57mi
3319 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,500 $0.99 44d 1 0.59mi
3502 26th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,295 $1.12 44d 1 0.61mi
3418 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,350 $1.01 21d 1 0.61mi
3007 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1353 $1,325 $0.98 21d 1 0.62mi
3016 30th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 947 $975 $1.03 44d 1 0.65mi
2823 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1105 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.67mi
3019 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,250 $1.19 21d 1 0.67mi
3505 46th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1686 $1,550 $0.92 44d 1 0.68mi
3714 26th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 894 $1,175 $1.31 44d 1 0.69mi
3807 26th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,500 $1.06 14d 1 0.71mi
2501 Louisville Ave Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,099 $1.06 44d 1 0.71mi
4103 30th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1323 $1,250 $0.94 44d 1 0.72mi
3105 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1348 $1,375 $1.02 21d 1 0.72mi
3417 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,550 $1.07 44d 1 0.73mi
2801 36th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $2,700 $1.87 44d 1 0.75mi
3813 25th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1467 $1,400 $0.95 14d 1 0.77mi
3712 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1767 $1,400 $0.79 21d 1 0.78mi
4304 32nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,395 $1.19 14d 1 0.80mi
3709 23rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1107 $950 $0.86 44d 1 0.82mi
2712 37th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,300 $1.14 44d 1 0.82mi
2812 43rd St Unit 6 Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0 1104 $700 $0.63 44d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 106-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $145,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,886 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$768/yr (+$64/mo · 40.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,618
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,886
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,409
− Management
−$1,409
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$152
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$36
After-tax cash flow
$2,219/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,343
Household income
$69,400
Rent vs Own
43.9% rent · 56.1% own
Severe rent burden
1211.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.52%
Current HPI
239.8854
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $145,000 LARMLS
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-13 Sold (MLS) LARMLS
  • 2021-04-29 Listed $130,000 LARMLS
  • 2012-12-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,886 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…