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610 Welcome St
C+ Composite 64.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$134,900

610 Welcome St · Taylorsville, MS 39168
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,546 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1939 $53/sqft · 40% below area Est $226k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This large home is a blank slate and an investors dream. With the perfect layout for a duplex, which could create lasting income or renovated into a large family home. Over 3000 sq feet and sitting on 3 acres, this one is LOADED with potential. Built in 1940, it has that sturdy, solid, and well built feeling. This property has a large porch, large windows to allow the natural light in and solid wood walls. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths will make it perfect for a large family. The roof is only a few months old. If you are looking for a large, grand home, and are willing to put in the work, here it is!!!! It will not go FHA, USDA or VA.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Large porch
  • New roof

Tags

LARGE PORCHLARGE WINDOWSNEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#102 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Smith County School District (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #55 of 130 in MS (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Smith County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,233 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.62%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,451
List price
$134,900
Delta
-40.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$36,997
Equity at exit
$70,797
10-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$104,757
Equity at exit
$117,753

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39168

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $681/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,038
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $253 -5% $215 +0% $177 +5% $139 +10% $100
Rent -10% $77 -5% $127 +0% $177 +5% $227 +10% $277
Rate -1.0pp $245 -0.5pp $211 base $177 +0.5pp $142 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,900 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,900 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 57 DOM
  17. 2026-04-03
    listed $134,900 Active 635-char remark
    Show marketing remark (635 chars)

    This large home is a blank slate and an investors dream. With the perfect layout for a duplex, which could create lasting income or renovated into a large family home. Over 3000 sq feet and sitting on 3 acres, this one is LOADED with potential. Built in 1940, it has that sturdy, solid, and well built feeling. This property has a large porch, large windows to allow the natural light in and solid wood walls. 5 bedrooms and 2 baths will make it perfect for a large family. The roof is only a few months old. If you are looking for a large, grand home, and are willing to put in the work, here it is!!!! It will not go FHA, USDA or VA.

  18. 2026-02-16
    status Active
  19. 2026-02-05
    status Pending
  20. 2025-07-21
    listed $134,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$681 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$385/yr (+$32/mo · 56.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,148
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$681
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$27
After-tax cash flow
$2,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Smith County School District
NCES district ID
2804020
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,791
Composite
29.09/100
National rank
#6597
State rank
#55 of 130 in MS

Livability — Taylorsville

Score
66/100
State rank
#102
US rank
#12306

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylorsville, MS
Population (ZIP)
5,950

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,231 people
By 2030
14,658 · -3.8%
By 2040
13,448 · -11.7%
By 2050
12,234 · -19.7%
By 2075
9,527 · -37.4%
By 2100
7,537 · -50.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (56%)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.7) · D 19.4% · R 80.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: -51.7pp · 2024: -60.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.7 2020: R+56.0 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+51.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.30%
Current HPI
142.5348
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $134,900 HAAR
  • 2026-02-16 Relisted HAAR
  • 2026-02-05 Pending HAAR
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $134,900 HAAR

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $681 · -29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…