10 Country Side Way · Freeport, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$304,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 10 Country Side Way at Magnolia at the Bluffs in Freeport Florida. This pre-construction homesite offers the opportunity to secure new construction prior to groundbreaking. This property will be developed with the Freeport floorplan. Entering this home, you find a wide foyer and two spacious bedrooms off the entry hall. The guest bedrooms are spacious and feature ample closet space. Continuing through the entry hall, a third bedroom, ideal for a home office or flex space, is located on the adjacent hall that hosts the laundry area for a full-size washer and dryer near access to the two-car garage. Passing the fourth bedroom you will enter the open concept living area that serves
Key facts
- Freeport floorplan
- Ample closet space
- Wide foyer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowner association (master association fees apply); Subdivision: Magnolia at the Bluffs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 driveway spaces; Garage with garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-story Craftsman-style home; Facing/entry level: first floor
- Construction: Vinyl siding and vinyl trim; Shingle roof; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Open patio; Paved road access; Paved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Recessed lighting; Pantry; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $273k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.14%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,058
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Dockside Rd | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (0%) | 1mo | $279,665 | $192 | 95 |
| 143 Dockside Rd | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (0%) | 2mo | $289,495 | $199 | 94 |
| 203 Dockside Rd | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (0%) | 1mo | $270,253 | $185 | 92 |
| 208 Bon Ami Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,569 (+8%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $226 | 76 |
| 10 Bon Ami Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,569 (+8%) | 0mo | $344,990 | $220 | 75 |
| 127 Dockside Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,293 (-11%) | 3mo | $259,825 | $201 | 70 |
| 140 Dockside Rd | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,641 (+13%) | 0mo | $316,761 | $193 | 69 |
| 183 Dockside Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,641 (+13%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 55 Hydrangea Blvd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,642 (+13%) | 1mo | $346,990 | $211 | 59 |
| 664 Alleyoak Ln Unit 37-2 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,634 (+12%) | 2mo | $326,470 | $200 | 47 |
| 593 Alleyoak Ln Unit 10-2 | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,634 (+12%) | 2mo | $337,270 | $206 | 46 |
| 576 Alleyoak Ln Lot 44-2 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,634 (+12%) | 2mo | $340,970 | $209 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-62,171
- Equity at exit
- $45,462
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-81,763
- Equity at exit
- $26,362
Cash invested: $85,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32439
- Home prices YoY
- -4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 1020
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,730 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$381 /mo · $4,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$59
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$573
- Net cashflow
- $-135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $-30 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-240 | +10% $-346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-351 | -5% $-243 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-27 | +10% $81 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $19 | -0.5pp $-57 | base $-135 | +0.5pp $-214 | +1.0pp $-294 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,225
- Closing costs
- $9,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 Hydrangea Blvd Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $2,495 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 692 Alleyoak Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 664 Alleyoak Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 530 Alleyoak Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1711 | $2,500 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 593 Alleyoak Ln Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1634 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 585 Claudia Cir Freeport, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $2,040 | $1.89 | 22d | 47 | 0.67mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $59 · $708/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $304,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $304,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $304,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $304,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $304,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $304,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $304,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $304,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$304,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,079
- − Property taxes
- −$4,574
- − Insurance
- −$3,027
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,620
- − Management
- −$2,620
- − HOA
- −$708
- − Depreciation
- −$8,870
- Taxable loss
- −$6,743
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale or rental value include painting the interior walls, updating the kitchen backsplash, upgrading the flooring, appliances, HVAC system, windows, and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the interior walls and updating the kitchen backsplash — These updates can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the flooring to a more durable material — This can improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value by making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to more energy-efficient models — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system to a more energy-efficient model — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the windows to energy-efficient models — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the landscaping to include more drought-tolerant plants — This can improve the home's curb appeal and reduce maintenance costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the interior walls and updating the kitchen backsplash — These updates can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring to a more durable material — This can improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value by making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to more energy-efficient models — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system to a more energy-efficient model — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the windows to energy-efficient models — This can improve the home's energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the landscaping to include more drought-tolerant plants — This can improve the home's curb appeal and reduce maintenance costs, making it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #9579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 15,328
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
- Household income
- $83,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.18%
- Current HPI
- 350.4692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.40%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $304,900 ECAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…