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2104 Hunter Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

2104 Hunter Ave · New Castle, IN 47362
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1955 0.83 ac lot $53/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors: Opportunity alert! This partially completed single family home presents a strong opportunity to control final costs and maximize returns. The property is currently at the drywall stage, with core construction and layout already completed - saving months of build time. With major structural and mechanical components in place, the remaining work centers on interior finishes and final installations, making this an efficient project for a flip or long-term rental strategy. The modern layout is designed to meet current buyer and tenant preferences, supporting solid resale and rental potential.

Key facts

  • Rental potential
  • Modern layout
  • Resale potential

Tags

MODERN LAYOUTRESALE POTENTIALRENTAL POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $70,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$150,460) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.7% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#64 in IN, #4,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • New Castle Community School Corporation (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #229 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Castle Middle School (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #243 of 330 statewide, top 74%, 666 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; list at $70k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.14%
Cash-on-cash
20.87%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,460
List price
$70,000
Delta
-53.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2601 Maple Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,332 (+1%) 5mo $172,000 $129 80
2302 I Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,216 (-8%) 6mo $144,900 $119 58
2514 S 23rd St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-12%) 2mo $90,000 $77 56
2537 S 23rd St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-10%) 13mo $169,900 $143 50
3031 Brentwood Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+12%) 2mo $198,000 $134 46
2721 Sunnyside Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-2%) 19mo $85,000 $65 44
2806 Greenview Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,370 (+4%) 21mo $154,000 $112 43
1213 S 25th St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,284 (-3%) 21mo $109,000 $85 42
2116 S 18th St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,272 (-4%) 15mo $89,900 $71 42
2202 S 19th St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-9%) 18mo $126,000 $105 39
1007 S 24th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,150 (-13%) 6mo $30,000 $26 30
2403 C Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-8%) 21mo $110,000 $91 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$12,023
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$45,437
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47362

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $790/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $585
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $381 -5% $361 +0% $341 +5% $321 +10% $301
Rent -10% $261 -5% $301 +0% $341 +5% $381 +10% $421
Rate -1.0pp $376 -0.5pp $359 base $341 +0.5pp $323 +1.0pp $304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1618 P Ave New Castle, IN 3.0 1.5 1064 $950 $0.89 3d 1 0.75mi
940 S 15th St New Castle, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 816 $1,075 $1.32 0d 2 1.09mi
1519 A Ave New Castle, IN 3.0 2.0 1790 $855 $0.48 45d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $70,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 106 DOM
  19. 2026-05-01
    price $80,000 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    Attention investors: Opportunity alert! This partially completed single family home presents a strong opportunity to control final costs and maximize returns. The property is currently at the drywall stage, with core construction and layout already completed - saving months of build time. With major structural and mechanical components in place, the remaining work centers on interior finishes and final installations, making this an efficient project for a flip or long-term rental strategy. The modern layout is designed to meet current buyer and tenant preferences, supporting solid resale and rental potential.

  20. 2026-03-16
    price $90,000 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    Attention investors: Opportunity alert! This partially completed single family home presents a strong opportunity to control final costs and maximize returns. The property is currently at the drywall stage, with core construction and layout already completed - saving months of build time. With major structural and mechanical components in place, the remaining work centers on interior finishes and final installations, making this an efficient project for a flip or long-term rental strategy. The modern layout is designed to meet current buyer and tenant preferences, supporting solid resale and rental potential.

  21. 2026-02-13
    listed $100,000 Active 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    Attention investors: Opportunity alert! This partially completed single family home presents a strong opportunity to control final costs and maximize returns. The property is currently at the drywall stage, with core construction and layout already completed - saving months of build time. With major structural and mechanical components in place, the remaining work centers on interior finishes and final installations, making this an efficient project for a flip or long-term rental strategy. The modern layout is designed to meet current buyer and tenant preferences, supporting solid resale and rental potential.

  22. 2022-05-10
    soldstatus $23,900
  23. 2022-05-06
    soldstatus $23,900 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Large wooded lot with circular driveway. Former two car garage now interior square footage. Sold as-is

  24. 2022-03-19
    listed $24,900 102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (102 chars)

    Large wooded lot with circular driveway. Former two car garage now interior square footage. Sold as-is

  25. 2022-01-14
    listed $24,900
  26. 2015-08-12
    soldstatus $11,600
  27. 2015-04-15
    listed $21,000
  28. 2004-10-15
    soldstatus $10,500
  29. 2004-08-04
    listed $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$790 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$790 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,197
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$790
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$976
− Management
−$976
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$756
After-tax cash flow
$3,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Castle Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1807440
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,717
Composite
26.99/100
National rank
#7067
State rank
#229 of 301 in IN

Livability — New Castle

Score
75/100
State rank
#64
US rank
#4219

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Castle, IN
County
Henry County · 29,337 people
City population
29,337
Metro
New Castle, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,337
Household income
$60,258
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,028 people
By 2030
47,125 · -1.9%
By 2040
44,820 · -6.7%
By 2050
42,207 · -12.1%
By 2075
35,814 · -25.4%
By 2100
26,779 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.3% · R 73.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-43.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -47.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.70%
Current HPI
228.8885
Rent YoY
▲ 4.59%
Metro
New Castle, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $80,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $90,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $100,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
  • 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $23,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-19 Listed $24,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-14 Listed $24,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-08-12 Sold (MLS) $11,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-15 Listed $21,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-10-15 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-04 Listed $20,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-12.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $790 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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