308 W Crest Rd · Rossville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home is in a great location and the value is in the land. Home needs to be removed, and land needs some Work If you visit the property please be very careful
Key facts
- Great location
- Land needs work
- 4.07 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $748 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 5.3% in Rossville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#484 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rossville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 416 students, 91% FRL); Rossville Middle School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 444 students, 81% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,244 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 61% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.10%
- DSCR
- 3.85
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Georgia Ter | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+3%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $164 | 68 |
| 303 Claire St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (0%) | 8mo | $218,000 | $168 | 67 |
| 119 Hogan Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (-4%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 1 Battery Dr | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-14%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $112 | 58 |
| 4817 16th Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-9%) | 2mo | $38,900 | $33 | 54 |
| 205 George St St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-10%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 205 Georgia St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,164 (-10%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $155 | 52 |
| 39 Clift Trl | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,410 (+8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $106 | 49 |
| 1906 Close Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+14%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $155 | 49 |
| 234 Lakeview Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (+14%) | 4mo | $242,000 | $163 | 44 |
| 3516 Maplewood Ln | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-12%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $222 | 40 |
| 1508 S Rugby Pl | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (+12%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $203 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $46,466
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 74.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.50×
- Total profit
- $132,974
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30741
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,592/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $748
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $762 | +0% $748 | +5% $734 | +10% $720 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $631 | -5% $690 | +0% $748 | +5% $806 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $773 | -0.5pp $761 | base $748 | +0.5pp $735 | +1.0pp $722 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 Chickamauga Ave Unit A Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 819 Asterwood Dr Unit B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,445 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 132 Hogan Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,975 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 135 Hogan Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $1,975 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1591 Park City Rd Apt E15 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,145 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3201 E 36th St Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Apt B Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 877 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1106 Carline Rd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $1,095 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 361 Hogan Rd Unit C Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,295 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3414 Betty Ln Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1117 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1409 E 50th St Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,599 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3403 Gail Dr Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,425 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3403 Gail Dr Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 200A E Oak St Unit B Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 515 W Gordon Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $999 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1413 Mana Ln Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 104 Foster St Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,599 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3308 Roadrunner Trl Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,323 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3635 6th Ave Unit 3639 Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3627 6th Ave Unit 3627 Chattanooga, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1408 Mana Ln East Ridge, TN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1357 | $1,659 | $1.22 | 14d | 3 | 1.29mi |
| 304 Cherry St Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $1,675 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1016 Greenslake Rd Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $775 | $0.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 804 Henderson Ave Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,025 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 11 Carroll Ln Rossville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $1,599 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2025-07-19status Pending
-
2024-08-21historical Contingent
-
2024-08-21$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,592 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,592 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,592
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $8,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,100
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 1305370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,889
- Composite
- 22.74/100
- National rank
- #8035
- State rank
- #114 of 174 in GA
Livability — Rossville
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #22540
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rossville, GA
- County
- Walker County · 48,831 people
- City population
- 30,041
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,041
- Household income
- $58,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 834.0
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,050 people
- By 2030
- 64,305 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 60,127 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 55,551 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 44,886 · -32.0%
- By 2100
- 34,015 · -48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.05%
- Current HPI
- 267.0047
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.44%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-19 Pending — GCAR
- 2024-08-21 Contingent — GCAR
- 2024-08-21 Listed $50,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,592 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…