915 Carole St · Miamisburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bigger than it looks! This ranch boasts 1344 SF per county record! If you are a first-time buyer or a person that wants everything on one floor, this home is for you. Situated on a quiet street and close to school! You'll find this home to have a spacious living room, complete with wood flooring and full wall, built in shelving! The wood flooring extends into the dining rm & bdrms! The formal dining rm is adjacent to both the kitchen & family rm addition! The kitchen is larger than most with lots of counter space and cabinetry! There's a pass through to the family rm, convenient! Both the dining rm & kitchen have skylights that add lots of natural lighting! The family rm adds lots of space for relaxing or entertaining! A brick hearth is waiting for you to add a freestanding wood stove! The patio is accessible from the family rm! A small workshop exits to the back yard & the garage has an attached storage rm w/ utility sink! Updates include: interior paint, roof 2007, water heater 2010!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1958
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached one-car garage
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot (~0.19 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main level kitchen (approx. 12 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms (3): 9 x 9; 12 x 10; 12 x 10
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 7 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.9% in Miamisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#228 in OH, #3,550 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Miamisburg City (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #338 of 656 in OH (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $145k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.74%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,418
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -25.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1020 N Eleventh St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,348 (+0%) | 2mo | $211,000 | $157 | 86 |
| 934 Carole St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $165 | 73 |
| 803 Kercher St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,427 (+6%) | 0mo | $191,000 | $134 | 71 |
| 1026 Esther Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+8%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $169 | 68 |
| 1019 Richard St | 0.14mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $165 | 64 |
| 1103 Kercher St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (+13%) | 2mo | $269,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 948 Kercher St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (+12%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $133 | 54 |
| 1102 N Heincke Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-12%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $185 | 48 |
| 1109 Sundance Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,508 (+12%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 1232 Hollyhill Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 6mo | $274,900 | $239 | 45 |
| 326 N First St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (+13%) | 1mo | $57,420 | $38 | 44 |
| 1164 Case Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,167 (-13%) | 3mo | $216,000 | $185 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-14,979
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-834
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45342
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,436 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $167 | +0% $126 | +5% $85 | +10% $44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $70 | +0% $126 | +5% $183 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $163 | base $126 | +0.5pp $89 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Buckeye St Apt 2 Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 28 S 6th St Miamisburg, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $1,856 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 121 S 5th St Unit 121 Miamisburg, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1512 | $1,225 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 28 S Main St Unit 301 Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 207 S 2nd St Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 201 S Heincke Rd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $999 | $1.34 | 2d | 5 | 1.14mi |
| 85 N Gebhart Church Rd Unit G Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1324 Cherry Hill Dr Apt A Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5080 Pinemount Cir Unit 3x2 Miamisburg, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,099 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $144,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$149,900 Active 513-char remark
-
2015-07-14soldstatus $64,900
-
2015-07-10soldstatus $64,900 Sold 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Bigger than it looks! This ranch boasts 1344 SF per county record! If you are a first-time buyer or a person that wants everything on one floor, this home is for you. Situated on a quiet street and close to school! You'll find this home to have a spacious living room, complete with wood flooring and full wall, built in shelving! The wood flooring extends into the dining rm & bdrms! The formal dining rm is adjacent to both the kitchen & family rm addition! The kitchen is larger than most with lots of counter space and cabinetry! There's a pass through to the family rm, convenient! Both the dining rm & kitchen have skylights that add lots of natural lighting! The family rm adds lots of space for relaxing or entertaining! A brick hearth is waiting for you to add a freestanding wood stove! The patio is accessible from the family rm! A small workshop exits to the back yard & the garage has an attached storage rm w/ utility sink! Updates include: interior paint, roof 2007, water heater 2010!
-
2015-07-10soldstatus $64,900 Closed 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Bigger than it looks! This ranch boasts 1344 SF per county record! If you are a first-time buyer or a person that wants everything on one floor, this home is for you. Situated on a quiet street and close to school! You'll find this home to have a spacious living room, complete with wood flooring and full wall, built in shelving! The wood flooring extends into the dining rm & bdrms! The formal dining rm is adjacent to both the kitchen & family rm addition! The kitchen is larger than most with lots of counter space and cabinetry! There's a pass through to the family rm, convenient! Both the dining rm & kitchen have skylights that add lots of natural lighting! The family rm adds lots of space for relaxing or entertaining! A brick hearth is waiting for you to add a freestanding wood stove! The patio is accessible from the family rm! A small workshop exits to the back yard & the garage has an attached storage rm w/ utility sink! Updates include: interior paint, roof 2007, water heater 2010!
-
2015-06-15historical Active/Pending 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Bigger than it looks! This ranch boasts 1344 SF per county record! If you are a first-time buyer or a person that wants everything on one floor, this home is for you. Situated on a quiet street and close to school! You'll find this home to have a spacious living room, complete with wood flooring and full wall, built in shelving! The wood flooring extends into the dining rm & bdrms! The formal dining rm is adjacent to both the kitchen & family rm addition! The kitchen is larger than most with lots of counter space and cabinetry! There's a pass through to the family rm, convenient! Both the dining rm & kitchen have skylights that add lots of natural lighting! The family rm adds lots of space for relaxing or entertaining! A brick hearth is waiting for you to add a freestanding wood stove! The patio is accessible from the family rm! A small workshop exits to the back yard & the garage has an attached storage rm w/ utility sink! Updates include: interior paint, roof 2007, water heater 2010!
-
2015-06-03$64,900 Active 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Bigger than it looks! This ranch boasts 1344 SF per county record! If you are a first-time buyer or a person that wants everything on one floor, this home is for you. Situated on a quiet street and close to school! You'll find this home to have a spacious living room, complete with wood flooring and full wall, built in shelving! The wood flooring extends into the dining rm & bdrms! The formal dining rm is adjacent to both the kitchen & family rm addition! The kitchen is larger than most with lots of counter space and cabinetry! There's a pass through to the family rm, convenient! Both the dining rm & kitchen have skylights that add lots of natural lighting! The family rm adds lots of space for relaxing or entertaining! A brick hearth is waiting for you to add a freestanding wood stove! The patio is accessible from the family rm! A small workshop exits to the back yard & the garage has an attached storage rm w/ utility sink! Updates include: interior paint, roof 2007, water heater 2010!
-
2015-03-06historical
-
2014-09-12$74,500
-
2013-09-01historical
-
2013-05-13$65,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,248 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,254 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,226
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$835
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miamisburg City
- NCES district ID
- 3904439
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,394
- Composite
- 48.47/100
- National rank
- #2128
- State rank
- #338 of 656 in OH
Livability — Miamisburg
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #3550
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miamisburg, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 36,152
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,152
- Household income
- $84,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 790.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.01%
- Current HPI
- 227.3999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+119.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $144,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $149,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 2015-07-10 Sold (MLS) $64,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-07-10 Sold (MLS) $64,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-15 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $64,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-03-06 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2014-09-12 Listed $74,500 Dayton MLS
- 2013-09-01 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-05-13 Listed $65,900 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,248 · -22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…