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241 Lomax Ave
B Composite 70.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$52,900

241 Lomax Ave · Waverly, TN 37185
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1965 3.65 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This house is in need of a complete remodel, including a new roof. The back part of the roof has collapsed and has fallen in one of the bedrooms. This is definately a fixer upper. The house has been in the same family for many years and has been unoccupied for a long time with no maintenance done at all. Included in this sale is the house & lot along with a 3.2 acres that is located behind the house.

Key facts

  • 3.65 acre lot
  • 5 parking spots
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking; Driveway; Carport (1 space); Total 5 parking spaces (4 open, 1 covered)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick, frame, and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built approximately (year approximate)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
  • Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 2.8% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#209 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Humphreys County (rural): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #103 of 139 in TN (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Waverly Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 359 students, 0% FRL); Waverly Central High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 503 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 39 units permitted in Humphreys County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Humphreys County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
19.98%
Cash-on-cash
48.88%
DSCR
3.17
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,392
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 Lomax Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 941 (-4%) 11mo $78,375 $83 77
409 E Railroad St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+2%) 9mo $109,000 $109 60
206 Joe St 0.60mi 2/1.0 904 (-8%) 1mo $165,000 $183 57
203 E Wyly St 0.51mi 2/1.0 1,080 (+10%) 10mo $164,000 $152 51
204 1/2 Carroll Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+6%) 14mo $170,000 $163 50
2041/2 Carroll Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,044 (+6%) 14mo $170,000 $163 50
203 N Clydeton Rd N 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (+10%) 1mo $179,000 $166 41
117 Oak Ridge Dr 0.68mi 2/2.0 893 (-9%) 15mo $195,000 $218 36
114 Joe St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (+12%) 24mo $175,000 $158 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$25,683
Equity at exit
$7,888
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
5.50×
Total profit
$66,643
Equity at exit
$4,574

Cash invested: $14,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37185

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$277
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $834/yr
Insurance
$22
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$537

Break-even live

Break-even rent $551
Max offer price $52,900
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,225
Closing costs
$1,587
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
122 Tank Hill Rd Unit B Waverly, TN 2.0 2.5 1006 $1,250 $1.24 1d 1 0.18mi
311 E Commerce St Unit A Waverly, TN 1.0 1.0 640 $1,150 $1.80 43d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $52,900 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $52,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $52,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $52,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $52,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $52,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $52,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    remarks 405-char remark
  9. 2026-06-03
    listed $52,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$834 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$834 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,769
− Mortgage interest
−$2,963
− Property taxes
−$834
− Insurance
−$1,062
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$1,539
Taxable income
$6,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,442
After-tax cash flow
$5,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humphreys County
NCES district ID
4701980
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,248
Composite
19.14/100
National rank
#8829
State rank
#103 of 139 in TN

Livability — Waverly

Score
62/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#16116

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waverly, TN
Population (ZIP)
9,120

Population outlook (Humphreys County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,256 people
By 2030
16,654 · -3.5%
By 2040
15,437 · -10.5%
By 2050
14,238 · -17.5%
By 2075
11,971 · -30.6%
By 2100
10,575 · -38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 2% English 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Humphreys

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.1) · D 21.4% · R 77.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-53.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.9pp · 2024: -56.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.1 2020: R+49.8 2016: R+41.5 2012: R+13.5 2008: R+2.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.36%
Current HPI
335.9664
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $52,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $834 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…