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115 S Alvord St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

115 S Alvord St · Syracuse, NY 13203
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1900 2,675 sqft lot $48/sqft · 33% below area Est $97k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 115 S Alvord St, Syracuse, NY 13203 — a turnkey, cash-flowing rental property offering stability, strong payment history, and minimal landlord expense. Property Highlights: 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms Long-term tenant in place Current rent: $1,350 per month Section 8 pays 100% of the rent Tenant pays gas & electric Low property taxes Strong rental history This property provides dependable, government-backed rental income, making it an ideal addition to any investor’s Portfolio — whether you’re scaling locally or adding a stable Syracuse asset to a larger portfolio.

Key facts

  • 2,675 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 73 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$97,353) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $930 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.65%
Cap rate
23.47%
Cash-on-cash
61.35%
DSCR
3.73
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,353
List price
$65,000
Delta
-33.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
611 Highland St 0.10mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (-4%) 7mo $95,000 $73 78
200 Helen St 0.48mi 2/1.5 1,329 (-2%) 5mo $175,100 $132 69
321 Dewitt St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,310 (-3%) 6mo $175,000 $134 61
310 Helen St 0.55mi 2/1.5 1,274 (-6%) 4mo $191,000 $150 59
206 Mary St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,424 (+6%) 9mo $80,000 $56 58
206 Sedgwick St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,368 (+1%) 1mo $80,000 $58 56
309 Helen St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,284 (-5%) 10mo $201,000 $157 54
231 Grumbach Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (-15%) 0mo $75,000 $65 53
117 Lawrence St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,416 (+5%) 6mo $90,000 $64 48
215 Cleveland Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 8mo $159,000 $110 45
108 High St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,276 (-6%) 8mo $175,000 $137 44
109 Wilkie Pl 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,214 (-10%) 10mo $165,000 $136 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.7%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$57,857
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
10.24×
Total profit
$168,230
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13203

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,724 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $767/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$930

Break-even live

Break-even rent $547
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $967 -5% $949 +0% $930 +5% $912 +10% $894
Rent -10% $794 -5% $862 +0% $930 +5% $999 +10% $1,067
Rate -1.0pp $963 -0.5pp $947 base $930 +0.5pp $914 +1.0pp $896

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
610 E Division St Unit F2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 44d 1 0.34mi
912 Park St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 0.35mi
205A Hawley Ave Unit 213C Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,650 $1.22 44d 1 0.52mi
205A Hawley Ave Unit 211C Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,675 $1.24 44d 1 0.52mi
807-13 N Salina St Unit 809A Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,325 $1.30 44d 1 0.59mi
416 Pearl St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $2,400 $2.67 14d 1 0.60mi
126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 44d 1 0.63mi
525 Burnet Ave Unit First Floor Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 44d 1 0.65mi
689 N Clinton St Apt 307 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.5 1100 $1,600 $1.45 44d 1 0.72mi
689 N Clinton St Unit 323 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.5 960 $1,575 $1.64 21d 1 0.72mi
210 W Division St Unit 24 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 21d 1 0.76mi
210 W Division St Unit 87 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 0.76mi
721 N Clinton St Unit 213 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 44d 1 0.77mi
721 N Clinton St Unit 105 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 44d 1 0.77mi
230 W Willow St Apt 310 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 933 $1,600 $1.71 14d 1 0.79mi
208 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 962 $1,800 $1.87 44d 1 0.92mi
900 E Fayette St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 817 $1,995 $2.44 14d 9 0.92mi
1618 James St #3 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1150 $2,200 $1.91 14d 1 0.93mi
300 University Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1020 $2,150 $2.11 14d 1 0.98mi
319 S Salina St Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1860 $2,000 $1.08 21d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 403 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 978 $1,750 $1.79 21d 1 1.00mi
373 Spencer St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1085 $1,850 $1.71 44d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1446 $2,450 $1.69 44d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 501 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1446 $3,000 $2.07 44d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 402 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 1050 $2,200 $2.10 14d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 502 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 1050 $2,500 $2.38 44d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 978 $1,800 $1.84 44d 1 1.00mi
321 S Salina St Unit 203 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 1236 $2,000 $1.62 21d 1 1.00mi
129 W Fayette St Unit 217 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 14d 1 1.01mi
324 W Water St Unit 106 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1436 $2,095 $1.46 21d 1 1.01mi
324 W Water St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,975 $1.96 14d 6 1.01mi
201 E Jefferson St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 662 $1,626 $2.45 14d 9 1.03mi
317 S Clinton St Unit 4A Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 14d 1 1.03mi
205 E Jefferson St Unit 2B Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 21d 1 1.03mi
317 S Clinton St Unit 3A Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 44d 1 1.03mi
60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 970 $1,315 $1.36 44d 1 1.03mi
110 Walton St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,200 $2.09 44d 1 1.06mi
110 Walton St Unit 301 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1051 $2,000 $1.90 21d 1 1.06mi
120 Walton St Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $3,200 $3.88 44d 2 1.06mi
108 W Jefferson St #706 Syracuse, NY 1.0 1.0 959 $1,850 $1.93 44d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Welcome to 115 S Alvord St, Syracuse, NY 13203 — a turnkey, cash-flowing rental property offering stability, strong payment history, and minimal landlord expense. Property Highlights: 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms Long-term tenant in place Current rent: $1,350 per month Section 8 pays 100% of the rent Tenant pays gas & electric Low property taxes Strong rental history This property provides dependable, government-backed rental income, making it an ideal addition to any investor’s Portfolio — whether you’re scaling locally or adding a stable Syracuse asset to a larger portfolio.

  2. 2026-02-27
    listed $65,000 Active 636-char remark
    Show marketing remark (636 chars)

    Welcome to 115 S Alvord St, Syracuse, NY 13203 — a turnkey, cash-flowing rental property offering stability, strong payment history, and minimal landlord expense. Property Highlights: 2 Bedrooms | 2 Full Bathrooms Long-term tenant in place Current rent: $1,350 per month Section 8 pays 100% of the rent Tenant pays gas & electric Low property taxes Strong rental history This property provides dependable, government-backed rental income, making it an ideal addition to any investor’s Portfolio — whether you’re scaling locally or adding a stable Syracuse asset to a larger portfolio.

  3. 2025-04-01
    historical
  4. 2025-01-17
    price $84,900
  5. 2024-10-10
    listed $89,900 Active
  6. 2022-11-15
    soldstatus $170,000
  7. 2022-10-25
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  8. 2022-08-05
    historical
  9. 2022-08-03
    listed $55,000
  10. 2020-10-06
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  11. 2020-08-19
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  12. 2020-08-05
    listed $29,900 Active
  13. 2017-10-18
    soldstatus $27,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  14. 2017-07-05
    historical Under Contract- Do Not Show
  15. 2017-05-22
    price $32,900
  16. 2017-05-11
    price $33,500
  17. 2017-05-03
    price $34,000
  18. 2017-04-30
    price $34,500
  19. 2017-04-24
    price $34,900
  20. 2017-04-18
    price $35,900
  21. 2017-03-30
    price $36,900
  22. 2017-03-21
    price $37,900
  23. 2017-03-07
    price $38,900
  24. 2017-02-06
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$767 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$933 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$166/yr (+$14/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,694
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$767
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,655
− Management
−$1,655
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$10,759
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,582
After-tax cash flow
$8,583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,180
Household income
$46,997
Rent vs Own
63.8% rent · 36.2% own
Severe rent burden
1566.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.69%
Current HPI
263.2588
Rent YoY
▲ 8.39%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.9% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $65,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-04-01 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $84,900 CNYIS
  • 2024-10-10 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-08-05 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2022-08-03 Listed $55,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-10-06 Sold (MLS) $32,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-08-19 Pending CNYIS
  • 2020-08-05 Listed $29,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-10-18 Sold (MLS) $27,000 CNYIS
  • 2017-07-05 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2017-05-22 Price Changed $32,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-05-11 Price Changed $33,500 CNYIS
  • 2017-05-03 Price Changed $34,000 CNYIS
  • 2017-04-30 Price Changed $34,500 CNYIS
  • 2017-04-24 Price Changed $34,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-04-18 Price Changed $35,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-03-30 Price Changed $36,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-03-21 Price Changed $37,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-03-07 Price Changed $38,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-02-06 Listed $39,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $767 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…