1402 Dominik Dr · College Station, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$365,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors! Location, location, location! Just 2 miles from Texas A & M University, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home is a great rental opportunity. The property features a large open living area, two dining spaces, and two versatile bonus/flex rooms— to help in maximizing rental potential. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized deck and a large, privacy-fenced backyard. This is a rare opportunity in a highly desirable area—don’t miss it!
Key facts
- Two dining spaces
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1975
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (12.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $291k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $291k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
- College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: College Hills El (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 596 students, 75% FRL); Oakwood Int (math 55% / reading 47%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 719 students, 48% FRL); A & M Cons H S (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B, #193 of 1,632 statewide, top 12%, 2,139 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 24% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,905/mo this rent would consume 115% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 8224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($321k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.08%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $390,450
- List price
- $365,000
- Delta
- -6.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1611 Leopard Ct | 0.26mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,442 (+1%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 2705 Wood Cliff Ct | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,215 (-8%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $180 | 58 |
| 2608 Clearwood Ct | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,446 (+2%) | 15mo | $389,000 | $159 | 55 |
| 1401 Francis Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-13%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $157 | 53 |
| 6402 Windwood Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,104 (-13%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $171 | 44 |
| 6404 Windwood Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,635 (+9%) | 18mo | $429,000 | $163 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-65,984
- Equity at exit
- $54,423
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-35,781
- Equity at exit
- $31,559
Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77840
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$491 /mo · $5,892/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$610
- Net cashflow
- $-262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-55 | -5% $-159 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-365 | +10% $-469 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-491 | -5% $-377 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-147 | +10% $-32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-78 | -0.5pp $-169 | base $-262 | +0.5pp $-357 | +1.0pp $-453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,250
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1208 Bayou Woods Dr College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $2,600 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1803 Fernhaven Cir Unit 1328088P College Station, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2077 | $4,163 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2105 Crest St College Station, TX | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2405 | $4,100 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2700 Horse Haven Ln College Station, TX | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1759 | $2,600 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 236 Richards St College Station, TX | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2550 | $4,100 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 287 Estates Cir Unit 1071599P College Station, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2098 | $7,118 | $3.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6959 Halter Loop College Station, TX | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2332 | $2,000 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2409 Colgate Cir College Station, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $750 | $0.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2330 Autumn Chase Loop Unit B College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2728 | $1,650 | $0.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1001 Krenek Tap Rd College Station, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 3.0–4.0 | 1572 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 45d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 1611 Armistead St Unit 1344599P College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2002 | $4,440 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $365,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $365,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $365,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $365,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $365,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $365,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $365,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $365,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $365,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $365,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $365,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $365,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $365,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $365,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $365,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $365,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $375,000 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Attention Investors! Location, location, location! Just 2 miles from Texas A & M University, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home is a great rental opportunity. The property features a large open living area, two dining spaces, and two versatile bonus/flex rooms— to help in maximizing rental potential. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized deck and a large, privacy-fenced backyard. This is a rare opportunity in a highly desirable area—don’t miss it!
-
2026-03-16price $380,000 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Attention Investors! Location, location, location! Just 2 miles from Texas A & M University, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home is a great rental opportunity. The property features a large open living area, two dining spaces, and two versatile bonus/flex rooms— to help in maximizing rental potential. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized deck and a large, privacy-fenced backyard. This is a rare opportunity in a highly desirable area—don’t miss it!
-
2026-02-09$390,000 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Attention Investors! Location, location, location! Just 2 miles from Texas A & M University, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home is a great rental opportunity. The property features a large open living area, two dining spaces, and two versatile bonus/flex rooms— to help in maximizing rental potential. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized deck and a large, privacy-fenced backyard. This is a rare opportunity in a highly desirable area—don’t miss it!
-
2017-10-05soldstatus
-
2017-09-29soldstatus 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND AGGIE PARENTS: Great location walking or biking distance to Texas A & M! This 4 bed 2 bath with 2 dining areas and 2 living rooms is fully renovated. It features new wood laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms, new granite counter tops, fresh paint throughout, New light fixtures, and a large wood deck in the back yard to relax and overlooking a wooded greenbelt! There is also a storage room on the side of the house.
-
2017-07-25$267,500 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS AND AGGIE PARENTS: Great location walking or biking distance to Texas A & M! This 4 bed 2 bath with 2 dining areas and 2 living rooms is fully renovated. It features new wood laminate flooring, new carpet in bedrooms, new granite counter tops, fresh paint throughout, New light fixtures, and a large wood deck in the back yard to relax and overlooking a wooded greenbelt! There is also a storage room on the side of the house.
-
2017-05-24$284,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,892 · $491/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,680 · $557/mo
- Expected delta
- +$787/yr (+$66/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,446
- − Property taxes
- −$5,892
- − Insurance
- −$1,825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,789
- − Management
- −$2,789
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$9,494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,279
- After-tax cash flow
- $-864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- College Station ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807350
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,991
- Composite
- 46.54/100
- National rank
- #2428
- State rank
- #113 of 826 in TX
Livability — College Station
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #994
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- College Station, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 131,628
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,864
- Household income
- $30,377
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8224.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 11% Black 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.15%
- Current HPI
- 195.2885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.24%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+32.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $375,000 BCSRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $380,000 BCSRMLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $390,000 BCSRMLS
- 2017-10-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-09-29 Sold (MLS) — BCSRMLS
- 2017-07-25 Listed $267,500 BCSRMLS
- 2017-05-24 Listed $284,000 BCSRMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,892 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…