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4 Whispering Oaks #24
D Composite 43.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • DSCR +0.5/10.0

$264,900

4 Whispering Oaks #24 · Huntsville, AL 35824
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,613 sqft · Townhouse · 109 Days on market
3,210 sqft lot $164/sqft · 29% below area Est $373k · 29% under $150/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction-Estimated completion-End of May! Experience the exquisite lifestyle that awaits in Oakwood Estates located in the beautiful established Lake Forest community just minutes from Redstone Arsenal, Town Madison & Research Park. Enjoy low maintenance, lock & leave lifestyle with prem features often considered upgrades in other townhomes: full brick exterior, private garage, sprinkler system, tile backsplash, designer lighting, 3cm quartz countertops, undercounter lights, crown,& a luxurious tile shower. After a long day, relax by the expansive Clubhouse Pool, stroll around the 33 acre community lake, admire swans from the gazebo, or enjoy the fitness center and tennis courts.

Key facts

  • Shaker cabinets
  • Undercounter lights
  • Lighting fixtures

Tags

SHAKER CABINETSTILE BACKSPLASHLIGHTING FIXTURESUNDERCOUNTER LIGHTSCROWN MOLDINGTILE SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-491 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (26.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (28.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Williams Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 521 students, 45% FRL); Williams Middle School (math 16% / reading 50%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 548 students, 58% FRL); Columbia High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 954 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,510 (28.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.07%
Cash-on-cash
-7.95%
DSCR
0.65
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$373,415
List price
$264,900
Delta
-29.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
67 Atherton Cir 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,705 (+6%) 14mo $299,000 $175 73
411 Ripple Lake Dr SW 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,850 (+15%) 2mo $340,000 $184 50
457 Legend Oak Way SW 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,837 (+14%) 2mo $333,000 $181 47
402 Tillane Park Cir SW 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,850 (+15%) 7mo $345,000 $186 45
410 Tillane Park Cir 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,837 (+14%) 9mo $315,000 $171 44
418 Ripple Lake Dr SW 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,837 (+14%) 8mo $340,000 $185 44
8609 Quinn Dr SW 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,839 (+14%) 12mo $338,500 $184 42
441 Legend Oak Way SW 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,828 (+13%) 17mo $335,000 $183 38
416 Raleigh Elm Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,839 (+14%) 14mo $325,000 $177 38
402 Ripple Lake Dr SW 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,850 (+15%) 21mo $325,000 $176 34
470 SW Raleigh Elm Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,854 (+15%) 9mo $330,000 $178 34
434 Ripple Lake Dr SW 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,850 (+15%) 18mo $340,000 $184 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.69% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$50,684
Equity at exit
$178,128
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$161,503
Equity at exit
$333,548

Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35824

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,885 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,389
Tax est. 1.5%
$331 /mo · $3,974/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$-491

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,507
Max offer price $193,789
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-308 -5% $-400 +0% $-491 +5% $-583 +10% $-675
Rent -10% $-640 -5% $-566 +0% $-491 +5% $-417 +10% $-343
Rate -1.0pp $-358 -0.5pp $-424 base $-491 +0.5pp $-560 +1.0pp $-630

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,225
Closing costs
$7,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5 Atherton Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1908 $2,500 $1.31 25d 1 0.07mi
27 Atherton Cir SW Unit N Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1780 $1,900 $1.07 25d 1 0.08mi
44 Atherton Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1742 $2,000 $1.15 45d 1 0.13mi
285 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,650 $1.11 45d 1 0.14mi
242 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2227 $1,750 $0.79 45d 1 0.28mi
241 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,700 $1.03 45d 1 0.32mi
240 Martin Rd SW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 946 $1,650 $1.74 25d 1 0.33mi
226 Shadow Ct SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1820 $1,750 $0.96 15d 1 0.36mi
404 Tillane Park Cir SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,050 $1.11 45d 1 0.52mi
439 Ripple Lake Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1837 $2,150 $1.17 45d 1 0.60mi
441 Ripple Lake Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,150 $1.16 25d 1 0.61mi
109 Brushcreek Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,595 $1.16 25d 1 0.64mi
475 E Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,050 $1.05 45d 1 0.74mi
483 E Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1826 $2,000 $1.10 25d 1 0.77mi
556 Martin Rd SW Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1079 $1,834 $1.70 15d 111 0.79mi
102 Sandpiper Ct SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1897 $1,750 $0.92 45d 1 0.86mi
1 Nestledown Dr SW Huntsville, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1231 $2,399 $1.95 15d 1 0.89mi
525 W Mossyleaf Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,700 $1.02 25d 1 0.93mi
103 Kestrel Ct SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1972 $1,950 $0.99 46d 1 0.96mi
702 Sluice Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,850 $1.00 45d 1 1.02mi
32 Ashbury Woods Dr Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1146 $1,409 $1.23 15d 17 1.11mi
119 Windsor Hill Rd SW Unit 119 Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1768 $1,800 $1.02 25d 1 1.37mi
103 Rainwood Dr SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2155 $2,400 $1.11 45d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $264,900 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $264,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $264,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $264,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $264,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $264,900 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $264,900 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $264,900 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $264,900 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $264,900 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $264,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $264,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $264,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $264,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $264,900 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-03-04
    listed $264,900 Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Under Construction-Estimated completion-End of May! Experience the exquisite lifestyle that awaits in Oakwood Estates located in the beautiful established Lake Forest community just minutes from Redstone Arsenal, Town Madison & Research Park. Enjoy low maintenance, lock & leave lifestyle with prem features often considered upgrades in other townhomes: full brick exterior, private garage, sprinkler system, tile backsplash, designer lighting, 3cm quartz countertops, undercounter lights, crown,& a luxurious tile shower. After a long day, relax by the expansive Clubhouse Pool, stroll around the 33 acre community lake, admire swans from the gazebo, or enjoy the fitness center and tennis courts.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,621
− Mortgage interest
−$14,839
− Property taxes
−$3,974
− Insurance
−$1,324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,810
− Management
−$1,810
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$7,706
Taxable loss
−$10,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,554
After-tax cash flow
$-3,343/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,645
Household income
$103,619
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
451.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 27% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.69%
Current HPI
269.5596
Rent YoY
▼ -3.65%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $264,900 VMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…