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4661 N 21st St
B+ Composite 76.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$66,825

4661 N 21st St · Milwaukee, WI 53209
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1947 4,791 sqft lot $90/sqft · 31% below area Est $97k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants ONLY. BIDS DUE May 18th, 2026 AT 10:00am

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Property records indicate year built (assessor/public record)
  • Exterior features: Brick / brick-and-stone exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living room on main level (10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $67k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $462 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $67k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,825

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.05%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,869
List price
$66,825
Delta
-15.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4757 N 21st St 0.11mi 2/1.0 704 (-5%) 1mo $132,305 $188 85
1961 W Purdue St 0.17mi 2/1.0 744 (0%) 19mo $129,900 $175 77
4636 N 19th St 0.25mi 2/1.0 800 (+8%) 11mo $136,500 $171 67
4928 N 27th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 728 (-2%) 8mo $115,000 $158 66
5038 N 19th Pl 0.50mi 2/1.0 752 (+1%) 11mo $154,000 $205 66
4930 N 22nd St 0.34mi 2/1.0 705 (-5%) 15mo $64,000 $91 62
2909 W Fairmount Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 735 (-1%) 10mo $70,500 $96 58
4348 N 30th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 710 (-5%) 9mo $109,000 $154 51
4502 N 28th St 0.52mi 2/1.0 839 (+13%) 8mo $75,000 $89 48
3105 W Glendale Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 725 (-3%) 19mo $50,000 $69 47
5012 N 28th St 0.63mi 2/1.0 800 (+8%) 14mo $70,000 $88 47
4556 N 30th St 0.60mi 2/1.0 852 (+14%) 13mo $25,500 $30 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$11,286
Equity at exit
$9,964
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.95×
Total profit
$55,212
Equity at exit
$5,778

Cash invested: $18,711 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53209

Rents YoY
8.6%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$974 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$350
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,503/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $637
Max offer price $66,825
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $285 +0% $266 +5% $247 +10% $228
Rent -10% $189 -5% $227 +0% $266 +5% $304 +10% $343
Rate -1.0pp $299 -0.5pp $283 base $266 +0.5pp $248 +1.0pp $231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,706
Closing costs
$2,005
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4603 N 29th St Unit 3 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 510 $750 $1.47 24d 1 0.58mi
1917 W Atkinson Ave #4 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 496 $795 $1.60 44d 1 0.92mi
3921 N 17th St Apt 3 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 44d 1 0.99mi
4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 747 $945 $1.27 24d 1 1.02mi
3901 N 27th St Unit 3907 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 715 $895 $1.25 24d 1 1.09mi
4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 44d 1 1.12mi
500 W Hampton Ave Milwaukee, WI 2.0 1.0 710 $1,165 $1.64 13d 1 1.12mi
306 W Hampton Ave Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 44d 1 1.24mi
1135 W Atkinson Ave Unit 8 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 44d 1 1.35mi
1135 W Atkinson Ave Unit 9 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 24d 1 1.35mi
1625 W Keefe Ave Unit 4 Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 24d 1 1.44mi
3444 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI 1.0 1.0 600 $695 $1.16 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $66,825 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-04-13
    listed $81,600 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants ONLY. BIDS DUE May 18th, 2026 AT 10:00am

  3. 1976-04-01
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,503 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,686
− Mortgage interest
−$3,743
− Property taxes
−$1,503
− Insurance
−$334
− Repairs & maintenance
−$935
− Management
−$935
− Depreciation
−$1,944
Taxable income
$2,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$550
After-tax cash flow
$2,639/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
45,170
Household income
$48,486
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
3390.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.98%
Current HPI
172.4275
Rent YoY
▲ 8.61%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $66,825 METROMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $81,600 METROMLS
  • 1976-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,503 · -81.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…