9243 Filibert Dr · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming single-family residence offering a great opportunity to own in a well-established St. Louis County neighborhood. This home features a functional layout designed for comfortable everyday living, with bright interior spaces and a traditional floor plan that provides flexibility for a variety of lifestyle needs. Situated on a residential street with convenient access to major roadways, schools, shopping, and local amenities, the property combines suburban living with everyday convenience. The surrounding area is known for its mature setting and long-standing community feel. The home presents an excellent opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors seeking a property with strong
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Residential street
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,270 (source: public records); Lot size approximately 0.1515 acres
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage reported
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car); 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Other
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House structure; Entry facing information not provided
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built year not provided
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Insulated windows; 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Danforth Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.73%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,530
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -26.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 937 Lebon Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,218 (-4%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $66 | 80 |
| 840 Lebon Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-4%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $69 | 75 |
| 833 Lebon Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+5%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 9437 Ardmore Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,302 (+2%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $100 | 68 |
| 1118 Dunford Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $117 | 66 |
| 9279 Dell Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $126 | 64 |
| 1109 Bluegrass Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $116 | 64 |
| 9421 Dickerson Dr | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,304 (+3%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $46 | 59 |
| 8845 Portland Ter | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (-12%) | 2mo | $33,000 | $30 | 56 |
| 9435 Eastchester Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 2mo | $55,500 | $46 | 52 |
| 1209 Longridge Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-6%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $117 | 52 |
| 555 Leeton Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+4%) | 5mo | $39,900 | $30 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $14,741
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $67,630
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63137
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 956 Fontaine Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1225 Newark Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,400 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9517 West Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9418 Pattonwood Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 982 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,275 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8530 Lowell St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 637 Karess Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,525 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 460 Bluff Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 435 Adrian Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 20d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 7d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,650 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9924 Gloucester Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,565 | $1.58 | 10d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 371 Adrian Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9943 Lilac Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,575 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9746 Diamond Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,275 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8883 Saint Cyr Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,200 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 10066 Dorothy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,225 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $94,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$104,900 Active 1014-char remark
-
2022-10-04soldstatus $3,087,952
-
1998-09-29soldstatus $65,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,718
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $3,421
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$821
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #592
- US rank
- #20944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 19,684
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,684
- Household income
- $43,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1863.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.70%
- Current HPI
- 130.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+44.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $99,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $104,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $3,087,952 Public Records
- 1998-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2022): $1,718 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…