534 E 37th Ave #84 · New Chicago, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Open layout
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#385 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.35%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,000
- List price
- $52,500
- Delta
- -27.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $16,040
- Equity at exit
- $7,828
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $59,987
- Equity at exit
- $4,539
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46342
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $329 | +0% $311 | +5% $292 | +10% $274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $247 | +0% $311 | +5% $374 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $337 | -0.5pp $324 | base $311 | +0.5pp $297 | +1.0pp $283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 905 W 37th Ave Unit 48 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 123 Arthur Ave Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1565 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 600 W 39th Pl Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1601 | $2,615 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 416 Van Buren Ave Hobart, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,780 | $1.76 | 0d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-13status Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-05-13historical 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-04-27status Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-04-25historical 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-03-29status Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-03-29price $52,500 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-03-17historical 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
-
2026-02-03$55,000 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,547
- − Management
- −$1,547
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $3,529
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$847
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully remodeled home is move-in ready with modern appliances, granite countertops, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Forest Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804620
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,317
- Composite
- 19.65/100
- National rank
- #8738
- State rank
- #268 of 301 in IN
Livability — New Chicago
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #385
- US rank
- #14244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Chicago, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 32,224
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,224
- Household income
- $75,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1033.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.01%
- Current HPI
- 260.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-05-13 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-25 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-29 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $52,500 Zillow
- 2026-03-17 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-03 Listed $55,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…