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534 E 37th Ave #84
B+ Composite 78.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$52,500

534 E 37th Ave #84 · New Chicago, IN 46342
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · Manufactured · 99 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 7,000 sqft lot $42/sqft · 27% below area Est $72k · 27% under $600/mo HOA · 37% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Open layout
  • Walk in closet

Tags

VINYL PLANK FLOORINGMODERN KITCHENOPEN LAYOUTMASTER SUITEWALK IN CLOSETHOTEL LIKE MASTER BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#385 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • River Forest Community School Corporation (suburban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #268 of 301 in IN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $363 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Recommended offer $47,775 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.07%
Cap rate
13.39%
Cash-on-cash
25.35%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,000
List price
$52,500
Delta
-27.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$16,040
Equity at exit
$7,828
10-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$59,987
Equity at exit
$4,539

Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46342

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$275
Tax est. 1.5%
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$600
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,219
Max offer price $52,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $329 +0% $311 +5% $292 +10% $274
Rent -10% $183 -5% $247 +0% $311 +5% $374 +10% $438
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $324 base $311 +0.5pp $297 +1.0pp $283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,125
Closing costs
$1,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
905 W 37th Ave Unit 48 Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 45d 1 0.24mi
123 Arthur Ave Hobart, IN 2.0 1.0 1565 $1,500 $0.96 0d 1 0.38mi
600 W 39th Pl Hobart, IN 3.0 3.0 1601 $2,615 $1.63 0d 1 0.45mi
416 Van Buren Ave Hobart, IN 3.0 1.0 1085 $1,395 $1.29 2d 1 0.58mi
333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1009 $1,780 $1.76 0d 11 0.90mi
3753 Englehart St Lake Station, IN 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,450 $1.18 0d 1 1.10mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$600 · $7,200/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  2. 2026-05-13
    historical 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  3. 2026-04-27
    status Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  4. 2026-04-25
    historical 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  5. 2026-03-29
    status Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  6. 2026-03-29
    price $52,500 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  7. 2026-03-17
    historical 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

  8. 2026-02-03
    listed $55,000 Active 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Discover our fully remodeled homes at Ravinia Pines- ranging from 1,216 to over 1,500 sq. ft. Each home is designed for comfort, quality, and convenience - and ready for immediate occupancy in our peaceful Hobart, Indiana community. Custom home buildable lots are also available - contact us to learn about model home opportunities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,342
− Mortgage interest
−$2,941
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,547
− Management
−$1,547
− HOA
−$7,200
− Depreciation
−$1,527
Taxable income
$3,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$847
After-tax cash flow
$2,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully remodeled home is move-in ready with modern appliances, granite countertops, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for further value enhancement through painting and landscaping.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained lawn and landscaping can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Forest Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804620
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,317
Composite
19.65/100
National rank
#8738
State rank
#268 of 301 in IN

Livability — New Chicago

Score
64/100
State rank
#385
US rank
#14244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Chicago, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
32,224
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
32,224
Household income
$75,521
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
1033.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.01%
Current HPI
260.2635
Rent YoY
▲ 5.63%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-05-13 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-25 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-29 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $52,500 Zillow
  • 2026-03-17 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $55,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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