207 E Central Ave · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wow! Excellent rehab opportunity in the Minter Acres subdivision of Potter County. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 10,890 sq ft lot and offers tremendous upside for the right buyer. Sold AS-IS, with the seller making no repairs. Perfect for investors or renovators looking for their next project. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1945
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $330 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.00%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,677
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -33.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156 W Central Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (+6%) | 19mo | $79,000 | $78 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $11,569
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $37,528
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79108
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $330
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $347 | +0% $330 | +5% $314 | +10% $297 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $245 | -5% $288 | +0% $330 | +5% $373 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $345 | base $330 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $300 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Jason Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $962 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4005 Hilltop Dr Apt C Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $850 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4005 Hilltop Dr Apt D Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2800 Redwood St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2904 N Mirror St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,050 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18status $59,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $59,000 Active Option Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$59,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Wow! Excellent rehab opportunity in the Minter Acres subdivision of Potter County. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a spacious 10,890 sq ft lot and offers tremendous upside for the right buyer. Sold AS-IS, with the seller making no repairs. Perfect for investors or renovators looking for their next project. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-04soldstatus
-
2025-07-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$2,303
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,041
- − Management
- −$1,041
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $3,306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$793
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- City population
- 185,802
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,979
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.97%
- Current HPI
- 185.6329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $59,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,303 · +18.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…