1166 Lafayette Rd Unit F38 · Medina, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable and full of potential! Located in Brookdale Mobile Home Park in Medina, this spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers over 1,050 square feet of living space and an open, inviting layout that's perfect for comfortable everyday living. Priced at just $39,900, this home is an excellent opportunity for budget-conscious buyers looking to build equity while enjoying immediate livability. While the property could benefit from some cosmetic updates and improvements, it is move-in ready as it sits. Outside, you'll find a convenient carport, storage shed, and swing set, providing added functionality and enjoyment. The home is situated within the highly regarded Medina City School District an
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Swing set
- Convenient carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 2.9% in Medina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#209 in OH, #3,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Medina City SD (suburban): math 70% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #115 of 656 in OH (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.15%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $30,899
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 65.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.31×
- Total profit
- $81,644
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44256
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 370
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,664 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$488
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $551
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $564 | +0% $551 | +5% $537 | +10% $523 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $419 | -5% $485 | +0% $551 | +5% $616 | +10% $682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $571 | -0.5pp $561 | base $551 | +0.5pp $540 | +1.0pp $530 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5777 Coneflower Dr Medina, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,836 | $1.39 | 2d | 10 | 0.77mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $488 · $5,856/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$39,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − HOA
- −$5,856
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $6,722
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,613
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition and could benefit from cosmetic updates and repairs to improve its curb appeal and increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Minor exterior siding — The exterior siding has some discoloration and wear, which can be addressed with minor repairs.
- Minor flooring — The flooring has some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs.
- Minor interior walls — The interior walls have some discoloration and wear, which can be addressed with minor repairs.
- Minor bathrooms — The bathrooms have some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs.
- Minor HVAC and mechanical systems — The HVAC and mechanical systems have some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's resale value.
- Resale Replace the roof — Replacing the roof can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its resale value.
- Resale Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Paint the interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Resale Update the bathrooms — Updating the bathrooms can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
- Rental Service the HVAC and mechanical systems — Servicing the HVAC and mechanical systems can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The exterior siding has some discoloration and wear, which can be addressed with minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| flooring · The flooring has some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior walls · The interior walls have some discoloration and wear, which can be addressed with minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathrooms · The bathrooms have some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC and mechanical systems · The HVAC and mechanical systems have some wear and tear, which can be addressed with minor repairs. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $17,500–65,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Resale Replace the roof — Replacing the roof can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Paint the interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Update the bathrooms — Updating the bathrooms can improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value. ↑
- Rental Service the HVAC and mechanical systems — Servicing the HVAC and mechanical systems can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, making it more attractive to renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Medina City SD
- NCES district ID
- 3904438
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,725
- Composite
- 62.9/100
- National rank
- #661
- State rank
- #115 of 656 in OH
Livability — Medina
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #209
- US rank
- #3302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Medina, OH
- County
- Medina County · 145,517 people
- City population
- 64,924
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,924
- Household income
- $99,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,249 people
- By 2030
- 188,174 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 190,350 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 187,283 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 177,108 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 151,304 · -18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Medina
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.2597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…