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101 Spruce Dr
B+ Composite 77.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,500

101 Spruce Dr · Jonesville, MI 49250
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition 4,420 sqft lot $54/sqft · 22% below area Est $64k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

Key facts

  • New bathroom
  • Walk-in shower
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

BRAND-NEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMWALK-IN SHOWERENCLOSED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#267 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jonesville Community Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #297 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Hillsdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsdale County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $46,530 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.75%
Cash-on-cash
40.90%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$63,750
List price
$49,500
Delta
-22.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
143 Pine Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 858 (-7%) 24mo $19,000 $22 63
147 Jermaine St 0.56mi 2/1.0 890 (-4%) 23mo $155,500 $175 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$22,082
Equity at exit
$7,381
10-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$58,035
Equity at exit
$4,280

Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49250

Home prices YoY
-22.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$260
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $742/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $49,500
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $490 +0% $472 +5% $455 +10% $438
Rent -10% $391 -5% $432 +0% $472 +5% $513 +10% $554
Rate -1.0pp $497 -0.5pp $485 base $472 +0.5pp $460 +1.0pp $447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,375
Closing costs
$1,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 West St Jonesville, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,031 $0.94 44d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,500 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,500 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,500 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,500 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,500 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,500 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,500 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,500 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,500 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,500 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,500 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,500 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,500 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,500 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,500 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,500 Active 60 DOM
  17. 2026-03-31
    listed $49,500 Active 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

  18. 2026-03-31
    listed $49,500 Active 751-char remark
    Show marketing remark (751 chars)

    This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,372
− Mortgage interest
−$2,773
− Property taxes
−$742
− Insurance
−$248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$990
− Management
−$990
− Depreciation
−$1,440
Taxable income
$5,190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,246
After-tax cash flow
$4,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a brand-new kitchen and bathroom, new flooring and carpet, and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and interior updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Replace carpet in living room — Improves comfort and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and appeal to potential buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Replace carpet in living room — Improves comfort and appearance.
  • Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and appeal to potential buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2619920
Math proficiency
29% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$45,333
Composite
29.45/100
National rank
#6514
State rank
#297 of 540 in MI

Livability — Jonesville

Score
71/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#6589

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesville, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,674

Population outlook (Hillsdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,704 people
By 2030
41,996 · -3.9%
By 2040
38,019 · -13.0%
By 2050
34,095 · -22.0%
By 2075
25,897 · -40.7%
By 2100
18,746 · -57.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsdale

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.7% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.46%
Current HPI
221.7044
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $49,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $49,500 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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