101 Spruce Dr · Jonesville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.
Key facts
- New bathroom
- Walk-in shower
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#267 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Jonesville Community Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #297 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Hillsdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $342 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsdale County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.90%
- DSCR
- 2.82
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,750
- List price
- $49,500
- Delta
- -22.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 Pine Dr | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-7%) | 24mo | $19,000 | $22 | 63 |
| 147 Jermaine St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 890 (-4%) | 23mo | $155,500 | $175 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $22,082
- Equity at exit
- $7,381
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.19×
- Total profit
- $58,035
- Equity at exit
- $4,280
Cash invested: $13,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49250
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$260
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $742/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $490 | +0% $472 | +5% $455 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $391 | -5% $432 | +0% $472 | +5% $513 | +10% $554 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $497 | -0.5pp $485 | base $472 | +0.5pp $460 | +1.0pp $447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,375
- Closing costs
- $1,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 West St Jonesville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,031 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$49,500 Active 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.
-
2026-03-31$49,500 Active 751-char remark
Show marketing remark (751 chars)
This home has a brand-new kitchen including appliances and cabinets. Completely new bathroom with walk-in shower. New flooring and carpet. Enclosed porch, shed and a carport. Enjoy the security and quiet of this mature community in Jonesville, MI. Evergreen Estates offers a friendly, country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities of its surrounding towns and cities. Yet as far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Evergreen Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, medical care, entertainment, and recreational opportunities. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Evergreen Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,773
- − Property taxes
- −$742
- − Insurance
- −$248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$1,440
- Taxable income
- $5,190
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,246
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a brand-new kitchen and bathroom, new flooring and carpet, and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and interior updates to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Replace carpet in living room — Improves comfort and appearance.
- Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Replace carpet in living room — Improves comfort and appearance. ↑
- Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jonesville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619920
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,333
- Composite
- 29.45/100
- National rank
- #6514
- State rank
- #297 of 540 in MI
Livability — Jonesville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #6589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesville, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,674
Population outlook (Hillsdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,704 people
- By 2030
- 41,996 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 38,019 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 34,095 · -22.0%
- By 2075
- 25,897 · -40.7%
- By 2100
- 18,746 · -57.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.7% · R 75.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+47.9 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.46%
- Current HPI
- 221.7044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $49,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $49,500 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…