719 Ticknor Ave · Newton Falls, OH 44444

$109,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,542 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market

Built 1920 0.45 ac lot $71/sqft · 29% below area Est $155k · 29% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.6/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +9.1/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This alum sided colonial offers spacious living room and dining room along with kitchen and family room on first floor plus laundry/ bath combo. Second floor has 2 bedrooms and full bath. Unfinished basement and rear enclosed porch. o This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 10/01/2016

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Open eat-in kitchen
• Laundry facilities

Tags

• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• OPEN EAT-IN KITCHEN
• REAR CLOSED IN PORCH
• LAUNDRY FACILITIES
• UPDATED FURNACE
• LARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Gravel driveway
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Two-story home; Block foundation; Aluminum siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
• Construction: Built (year per public records); Aluminum siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation
• Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Front porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Two additional bedrooms on the second floor
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One basement-level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Front porch
• Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located in the basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
• Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.5% in Newton Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#636 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Newton Falls Exempted Village (suburban): math 38% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #505 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $110k implies a 452% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $106,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.41%
• DSCR: 1.51
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $155,059
• List price: $109,900
• Delta: -29.12%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
57 E Main Rd	0.40mi	3/1.5	1,468 (-5%)	7mo	$26,000	$18	65
4454 Warren Ravenna Rd	0.46mi	3/1.5	1,443 (-6%)	6mo	$245,000	$170	61
328 Washington Ave	0.21mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,456 (-6%)	16mo	$144,200	$99	60
242 Arlington Blvd	0.65mi	3/2.0	1,550 (+0%)	13mo	$175,000	$113	54
1110 Warren Rd	0.22mi	3/2.5	1,736 (+13%)	11mo	$245,000	$141	54
1 Olive St	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,736 (+13%)	6mo	$189,900	$109	52
29 E Main St	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,696 (+10%)	10mo	$160,000	$94	50
4805 Fairport Rd	0.52mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,524 (-1%)	24mo	$150,000	$98	45
322 Oak Knoll Ave	0.66mi	3/1.5	1,396 (-10%)	12mo	$158,000	$113	42
411 Superior St	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,400 (-9%)	15mo	$199,900	$143	35
405 Arlington Blvd	0.54mi	3/2.5	1,720 (+12%)	19mo	$179,900	$105	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.03×
• Total profit: $820
• Equity at exit: $16,386

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.80×
• Total profit: $24,706
• Equity at exit: $9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44444

• Home prices YoY: -12.0%
• Active inventory: 30
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,294 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$576
• Tax from tax record: −$108 /mo · $1,292/yr
• Insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$272
• Net cashflow: $292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $924

Max offer price $109,900

Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,475
• Closing costs: $3,297
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $109,900 Active 35 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $109,900 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $109,900 Active 33 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $109,900 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $109,900 Active 30 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $109,900 Active 29 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $109,900 Active 26 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $109,900 Active 25 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $109,900 Active 24 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 23 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 18 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
15. 2026-05-06
    listed $109,900 Active 598-char remark
16. 2016-11-10
    soldstatus $19,900 Sold 323-char remark

    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    This alum sided colonial offers spacious living room and dining room along with kitchen and family room on first floor plus laundry/ bath combo. Second floor has 2 bedrooms and full bath. Unfinished basement and rear enclosed porch. o This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 10/01/2016

17. 2016-10-26
    status Pending 323-char remark

    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    This alum sided colonial offers spacious living room and dining room along with kitchen and family room on first floor plus laundry/ bath combo. Second floor has 2 bedrooms and full bath. Unfinished basement and rear enclosed porch. o This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 10/01/2016

18. 2016-10-13
    price $19,900 323-char remark

    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    This alum sided colonial offers spacious living room and dining room along with kitchen and family room on first floor plus laundry/ bath combo. Second floor has 2 bedrooms and full bath. Unfinished basement and rear enclosed porch. o This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 10/01/2016

19. 2016-09-12
    listed $24,900 Active 323-char remark

    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    This alum sided colonial offers spacious living room and dining room along with kitchen and family room on first floor plus laundry/ bath combo. Second floor has 2 bedrooms and full bath. Unfinished basement and rear enclosed porch. o This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look Initiative through 10/01/2016

20. 2008-01-17
    soldstatus $57,000
21. 2008-01-16
    soldstatus $57,000

    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    Three bedroom home in Newton Falls with lots of potential for an imaginative buyer. Large eat in kitchen, formal dining room and living room. Extra large lot and two driveways. First floor laundry and bathroom. Enclosed back porch & extra large. garage. Furnace new in '94, hot water tank 2 yrs old, sump pump 7 yrs old, 100 amp electric. Public sewer and water. Owner looking at all offers.

22. 2007-03-15
    listed $64,500

    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    Three bedroom home in Newton Falls with lots of potential for an imaginative buyer. Large eat in kitchen, formal dining room and living room. Extra large lot and two driveways. First floor laundry and bathroom. Enclosed back porch & extra large. garage. Furnace new in '94, hot water tank 2 yrs old, sump pump 7 yrs old, 100 amp electric. Public sewer and water. Owner looking at all offers.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,292 · $108/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,503 · $125/mo
• Expected delta: +$211/yr (+$18/mo · 16.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,527
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,156
• − Property taxes: −$1,292
• − Insurance: −$550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,242
• − Management: −$1,242
• − Depreciation: −$3,197
• Taxable income: $1,849
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$444
• After-tax cash flow: $3,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Newton Falls Exempted Village
• NCES district ID: 3904556
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -27.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $42,358
• Composite: 37.04/100
• National rank: #4513
• State rank: #505 of 656 in OH

Livability — Newton Falls

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #636
• US rank: #11218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newton Falls, OH
• County: Trumbull · 193,293 people
• Metro: Youngstown-Warren, OH
• Population (ZIP): 9,306
• Household income: $61,580
• Rent vs Own: 29.1% rent · 70.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 16.0

Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 191,696 people
• By 2030: 184,015 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 166,810 · -13.0%
• By 2050: 149,857 · -21.8%
• By 2075: 115,769 · -39.6%
• By 2100: 83,617 · -56.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · South Korea

Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull

• 2024 margin: R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -29.00%
• Current HPI: 213.331
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

+70.4% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Relisted — MLSNOW
• 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2026-05-06 Listed $109,900 MLSNOW
• 2016-11-10 Sold (MLS) $19,900 MLSNOW
• 2016-10-26 Pending — MLSNOW
• 2016-10-13 Price Changed $19,900 MLSNOW
• 2016-09-12 Listed $24,900 MLSNOW
• 2008-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
• 2008-01-16 Sold (MLS) $57,000 MLSNOW
• 2007-03-15 Listed $64,500 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,292 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.