3 W Meadow Dr · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$354,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3 West Meadow Drive in Albany, a superbly maintained Colonial style home lovingly cared for by original owners. This charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home boasts approximately 1,920 square feet of living space on a generous 0.27-acre lot. The home features a functional kitchen, spacious rooms, and 1.5 bathrooms. This property sits in a calm, low-traffic area with a ''silent zone'' feel while being just minutes from shopping, dining, parks, and highways. Don't miss the chance to view this home- schedule your private showing today. Multiple offers received. Final and Best due Tuesday 4/21 at 2pm
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Colonial style home
- Low-traffic area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $355k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-101/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (0.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (19.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $285k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $372,480
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Pitch Pine Rd | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,828 (-5%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $175 | 60 |
| 11 Woodridge St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,936 (+1%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $194 | 60 |
| 26 W Meadow Dr | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 | 2,116 (+10%) | 19mo | $430,000 | $203 | 54 |
| 43 Northgate Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,810 (-6%) | 9mo | $450,000 | $249 | 48 |
| 19 North Gate Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,936 (+1%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $181 | 42 |
| 3 Woodridge St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,810 (-6%) | 18mo | $310,000 | $171 | 38 |
| 5 Velina Dr | 0.72mi | 3/3.5 | 1,948 (+2%) | 23mo | $410,000 | $210 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-61,363
- Equity at exit
- $52,902
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-67,500
- Equity at exit
- $30,677
Cash invested: $99,344 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12203
- Home prices YoY
- -31.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,861
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$148
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $-8
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $88,700
- Closing costs
- $10,644
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Knollwood Ter Unit 120 Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1575 | $2,900 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 120 Knollwood Ter Unit 120 Albany, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1575 | $2,900 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1000 Apex Ln Albany, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1525 | $4,175 | $2.74 | 14d | 29 | 0.99mi |
| 1700 Western Ave Albany, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-16$354,800 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,017 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,506 · $376/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,490/yr (+$124/mo · 49.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,874
- − Property taxes
- −$3,017
- − Insurance
- −$1,774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,736
- − Management
- −$2,736
- − Depreciation
- −$10,321
- Taxable loss
- −$6,259
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,502
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,771
- Household income
- $83,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1704.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 10% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.05%
- Current HPI
- 296.0467
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.85%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $354,800 Global MLS
Property tax history
-6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,017 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…