510 Ridge Rd SE #102 · Washington, DC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $631 – $1,173
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover a hidden gem in the heart of Fort Dupont Park, where comfort meets investment potential. This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom unit offers 787 square feet of traditional brick architecture, perfect for those seeking a solid addition to their portfolio. Built in 1958, this well-maintained garden-style apartment is not just a home; it's a strategic investment opportunity. Imagine the benefits of a condo association fee that covers essential services such as heat, water, sewer, lawn maintenance, and trash removal, allowing for hassle-free management. The on-street parking adds convenience for residents and guests alike. The inviting layout provides a cozy atmosphere, ideal for tenants l
Key facts
- Accessibility
- On street parking
- $374 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property managed by a property manager
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $374; Professionally managed off-site; Condo fee covers heat, lawn maintenance, sewer, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Electric for cooling
- Home design: Penthouse unit; Condominium; Entry on floor 1
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Above-grade structure
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating (natural gas hot water); Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No in-unit washer/dryer or hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $529 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $80k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.35%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $26,625
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.12×
- Total profit
- $92,227
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State District of Columbia
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Washington
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
ZIP-level market 20019
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 276
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,783 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$374
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $529
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 Burbank St SE Apt 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $1,235 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4332 Gorman Ter SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $2,350 | $2.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3738 D St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,549 | $2.86 | 7d | 12 | 0.26mi |
| 608 Chaplin St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $2,200 | $2.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4213 Hildreth St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $2,500 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 300 37th St SE Unit 101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 305 37th St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,550 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3600 Ely Pl SE Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,088 | $2.90 | 3d | 10 | 0.47mi |
| 3516 Ely Pl SE Unit 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 301 Anacostia Rd SE Unit 2 BEDROOM Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 319 Anacostia Rd SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,035 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4040 E Capitol St NE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 716 | $1,608 | $2.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4473 B St SE #304 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,999 | $2.58 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4427 A St SE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,900 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4805 Texas Ave SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,400 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4701 Benning Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3532 Minnesota Ave SE Unit 3 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4110 Ames St NE #14 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3539 A St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,403 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4732 Benning Rd SE #102 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $1,150 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3427 B St SE Unit 4 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 558 | $1,300 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4511 B St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,650 | $2.44 | 24d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 3315 Dubois Pl SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4820 C St SE #304 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $1,600 | $2.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3313 C St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,343 | $1.79 | 1d | 2 | 0.75mi |
| 324 Saint Louis St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,750 | $2.73 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4615 Central Ave NE Unit B Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4236 Benning Rd NE Unit 302 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,195 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4236 Benning Rd NE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1193 46th Pl SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $3,200 | $3.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 225 43rd Rd NE Unit 203 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3217 Dubois Pl SE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 11d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 165 35th St NE Unit 3 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,625 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 165 35th St NE Unit 2 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 134 35th St NE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $2,275 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 229 43rd Rd NE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 195 35th St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,800 | $2.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 212 36th St NE #1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,550 | $3.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 212 36th St NE #3 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $3,450 | $4.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4601 Blaine St NE Unit 1 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $374 · $4,488/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-04status Active
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2025-12-30$79,999 Active
-
2019-12-04soldstatus $52,000
-
1989-03-06soldstatus $40,000
-
1975-12-19soldstatus $19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,711
- − Management
- −$1,711
- − HOA
- −$4,488
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $5,646
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,355
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- District Of Columbia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1100030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,671
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #8 of 32 in DC
Livability — Washington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #5327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington, DC
- County
- District of Columbia · 671,873 people
- City population
- 671,873
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,380
- Household income
- $58,296
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5115.0
Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 821,926 people
- By 2030
- 899,517 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 1,061,162 · +29.1%
- By 2050
- 1,231,493 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 1,603,312 · +95.1%
- By 2100
- 1,847,141 · +124.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Dominican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.91%
- Current HPI
- 326.4481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.06%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $153B |
|
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| Life Sciences / Industrials | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+310.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $79,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1989-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1975-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $627 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…