🏷️ Likely Rental
313 Cloverdale Rd · Atmore, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Long term tenant already in place!! Great investment. Very convenient to downtown Atmore! Only 3 blocks from community hospital. This home has a lot of potential and in an ideal location!! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence. Buyer and/or buyer agent responsible for verifying all information during due diligence. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS IS.
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 162 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 7.4% in Atmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#530 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Escambia County (town): math 17% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #83 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.20%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,404
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -31.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 E Horner St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (-2%) | 11mo | $163,000 | $136 | 76 |
| 205 12th Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-2%) | 15mo | $229,000 | $191 | 70 |
| 609 E Pine St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (+8%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $124 | 63 |
| 506 E Horner St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,241 (+1%) | 17mo | $124,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 311 4th Ave | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 13mo | $129,000 | $108 | 60 |
| 511 E Pine St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (+2%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $120 | 59 |
| 611 E Poplar St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-10%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 202 5th Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,191 (-3%) | 18mo | $143,000 | $120 | 51 |
| 106 2nd Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+0%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $53 | 47 |
| 514 5th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-11%) | 12mo | $132,500 | $121 | 40 |
| 216 Perdido St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-7%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $48 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $22,284
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $69,952
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36502
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,609 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $711/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $617
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-01-07$105,000 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Long term tenant already in place!! Great investment. Very convenient to downtown Atmore! Only 3 blocks from community hospital. This home has a lot of potential and in an ideal location!! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence. Buyer and/or buyer agent responsible for verifying all information during due diligence. PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $711 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $711 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$711
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $6,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia County
- NCES district ID
- 0101350
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,905
- Composite
- 22.73/100
- National rank
- #8036
- State rank
- #83 of 129 in AL
Livability — Atmore
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #530
- US rank
- #25632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atmore, AL
- City population
- 1,121
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,008
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,683 people
- By 2030
- 35,844 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 34,393 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 33,109 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,305 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 21,091 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 40% Native American 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.6% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+37.4 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.16%
- Current HPI
- 190.1872
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-07 Listed $105,000 BCAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $711 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…