3903 Houston · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
0ne mile or less from Our Lady Lake University. It is also very near shopping centers, restaurants, walking trail, nice corner lot, and 2 car carports. The washer & dryer room could be a third bedroom. Finally, one block to Via bus route.
Key facts
- Bus route
- Carports
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-266/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (2.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,320/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 2789% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.66%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,712
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -3.86%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4103 W Salinas St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $88 | 82 |
| 3430 Commerce | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 1,164 (+1%) | 8mo | $49,500 | $43 | 75 |
| 3927 W Houston | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 4mo | $146,000 | $145 | 68 |
| 3718 W Martin St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,236 (+8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $73 | 58 |
| 146 Leroux | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,110 (-3%) | 2mo | $174,998 | $158 | 56 |
| 3318 Morales St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (-11%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $156 | 53 |
| 1806 Delgado St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+7%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $94 | 47 |
| 3523 W Martin | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+7%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $69 | 45 |
| 3225 Buena Vis | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+10%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $175 | 44 |
| 3402 W Travis | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,309 (+14%) | 7mo | $149,999 | $115 | 43 |
| 2511 Ruiz | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+14%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $188 | 35 |
| 2011 Leal St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,271 (+11%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $118 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $84,148
- Equity at exit
- $130,537
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.54×
- Total profit
- $265,165
- Equity at exit
- $281,509
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78207
- Home prices YoY
- 15.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,938/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3918 W Martin St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2503 Arbor Pl San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 122 Collins Ct San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 234 Gould St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 948 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3038 W Salinas Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1149 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1545 Ruiz St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $935 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 214 Aztec St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2721 Colima St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1230 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $1,999 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1407 Leal St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $800 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1231 Rivas St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,299 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2812 Vera Cruz San Antonio, TX | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2425 Monterey St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 206 Roberts St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1823 San Carlos St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,099 | $1.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2619 W Houston St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,800 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2311 Potosi St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2120 Monterey St Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,490 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 230 Micklejohn St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,695 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1706 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 614 N Sabinas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,249 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2148 Texas Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,375 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 811 Rivas St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,580 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 509 S Trinity St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $144,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $144,900 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
0ne mile or less from Our Lady Lake University. It is also very near shopping centers, restaurants, walking trail, nice corner lot, and 2 car carports. The washer & dryer room could be a third bedroom. Finally, one block to Via bus route.
-
2026-04-21price $149,500 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
0ne mile or less from Our Lady Lake University. It is also very near shopping centers, restaurants, walking trail, nice corner lot, and 2 car carports. The washer & dryer room could be a third bedroom. Finally, one block to Via bus route.
-
2026-02-05$154,000 New 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
0ne mile or less from Our Lady Lake University. It is also very near shopping centers, restaurants, walking trail, nice corner lot, and 2 car carports. The washer & dryer room could be a third bedroom. Finally, one block to Via bus route.
-
2023-05-01historical
-
2023-04-14$149,500 New
-
2007-07-19soldstatus
-
2007-07-13soldstatus
-
2007-06-04$60,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,938 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,938 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,938
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$2,687
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,474
- Household income
- $32,472
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2789.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 41% White 6% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 79%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 34.92%
- Current HPI
- 264.7559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.73%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+138.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $144,900 LERA
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $149,500 LERA
- 2026-02-05 Listed $154,000 LERA
- 2023-05-01 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2023-04-14 Listed $149,500 LERA
- 2007-07-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-07-13 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2007-06-04 Listed $60,800 LERA
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,938 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…