🏷️ Likely Rental
915 S Pope Ave · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This one pencils out for the investor who understands the value of steady cash flow and long-term upside. Currently leased through August 14, 2027, this 3-bedroom home delivers nearly $13,000 in gross annual rental income with the stability of an established tenant already in place. Features include a finished basement, 1-car garage, and a functional floor plan that continues to appeal to the long-term rental market. While the property could benefit from a little cosmetic polishing, that’s precisely where the opportunity lies—add value over time while collecting income from day one. At an asking price of just $115,000, opportunities like this are becoming increasingly difficult
Key facts
- 6,570 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (garage faces rear); Basement access to parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (Residential); Ranch-style; Faces east
- Construction: Frame and other construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Metal fencing; City lot; Paved road with private maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Wood flooring in main living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and bathroom; Carpet in lower-level family room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower-over-tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Wood windows; Eat-in kitchen; Ranch floor plan; Finished walk-out basement; Family room, great room, main-floor primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (0.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Hart Benton Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 397 students, 82% FRL); William Chrisman High (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #351 of 521 statewide, top 68%, 1,406 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 58% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.20%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129 S Dodgion Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-4%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $64 | 74 |
| 1124 S Haden St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,032 (-2%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $131 | 73 |
| 1319 S Crane St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-3%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $151 | 72 |
| 211 S Pearl St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 1,080 (+2%) | 1mo | $147,500 | $137 | 63 |
| 813 S Liberty St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (-3%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $137 | 62 |
| 1040 Stone St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (+11%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $178 | 62 |
| 325 S Crane St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 996 (-6%) | 4mo | $124,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 1340 S Emery Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+10%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $82 | 57 |
| 217 S Hunter St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+6%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $152 | 55 |
| 1217 S Osage St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-7%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $66 | 48 |
| 204 S Rogers St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (-12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $161 | 48 |
| 103 N Wilson Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,132 (+7%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $106 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-7,146
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $11,158
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64050
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,143 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $231 | -5% $199 | +0% $166 | +5% $134 | +10% $101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $121 | +0% $166 | +5% $211 | +10% $257 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $224 | -0.5pp $196 | base $166 | +0.5pp $137 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 E Stone St Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $849 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1118 S Pope Ave Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit c Independence, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $625 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 315 S Crane St Unit A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8061/2 E Devon St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $1,195 | $1.45 | 9d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 8 Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,895 | $1.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 9 Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 321 W South Ave Unit 11 Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1502 S Pleasant St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,399 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 630 N Hocker Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,325 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 2 A Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $995 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 523 W Maple Ave Unit 1A Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $945 | $1.16 | 9d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 414 Hillside Dr Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 627 | $1,199 | $1.91 | 45d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 902 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1314 E Frederick St Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 724 S Grand Ave Independence, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,149 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2905 S Lee's Summit Rd Independence, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 853 | $1,330 | $1.56 | 3d | 48 | 1.40mi |
| 1021 N Kiger Rd Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 523 S Crysler Ave Unit A Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $650 | $0.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1100 N Noland Rd Apt D Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 9d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 16428 E 29th Street Ct S Unit B Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 826 | $1,277 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-08$115,000 Active
-
2026-05-08historical $115,000
-
2023-08-16soldstatus
-
2016-01-25soldstatus
-
1981-12-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,710
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,024
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,097
- − Management
- −$1,097
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $131
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$31
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence 30
- NCES district ID
- 2915480
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,843
- Composite
- 27.04/100
- National rank
- #7054
- State rank
- #252 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,079
- Household income
- $48,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 972.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.24%
- Current HPI
- 305.796
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-01-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1981-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,024 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…