10270 State Road Bb · Hillsboro, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers approximately 922 sq. ft. of comfortable living space in a serene Hillsboro setting. The layout maximizes every square inch, providing an opportunity for a bright and functional interior perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Situated at Hillsboro, this property combines the peace of a rural atmosphere with convenient access to local amenities. Whether you are looking for a cozy primary residence or a manageable turnkey space, this home presents a fantastic opportunity to enjoy the beauty of this property.
Key facts
- 1.45 acre lot
- Built 1908
- Listed 84 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 1.6% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#434 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hillsboro R-III (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #204 of 324 in MO (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.33%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $22,326
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $62,158
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63050
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $521
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $540 | +0% $521 | +5% $502 | +10% $483 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $426 | -5% $474 | +0% $521 | +5% $568 | +10% $616 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $538 | base $521 | +0.5pp $504 | +1.0pp $486 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Timber Ridge Dr Hillsboro, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 2d | 12 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $67,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $72,800 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $72,800 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $72,800 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$72,800 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers approximately 922 sq. ft. of comfortable living space in a serene Hillsboro setting. The layout maximizes every square inch, providing an opportunity for a bright and functional interior perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Situated at Hillsboro, this property combines the peace of a rural atmosphere with convenient access to local amenities. Whether you are looking for a cozy primary residence or a manageable turnkey space, this home presents a fantastic opportunity to enjoy the beauty of this property.
-
2017-04-12price $79,900
-
2017-02-04price $81,500
-
2017-01-15price $86,500
-
2003-02-27soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $650 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$6/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $5,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsboro R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2914430
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,236
- Composite
- 30.35/100
- National rank
- #6262
- State rank
- #204 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hillsboro
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #434
- US rank
- #17861
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,681
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,088 people
- By 2030
- 238,365 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 240,156 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 234,651 · -0.2%
- By 2075
- 214,569 · -8.7%
- By 2100
- 179,697 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.93%
- Current HPI
- 233.2931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-15.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $72,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-12 Price Changed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-04 Price Changed $81,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-15 Price Changed $86,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…