CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
10270 State Road Bb
B- Composite 68.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,000

10270 State Road Bb · Hillsboro, MO 63050
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 922 sqft · Other public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1908 1.45 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers approximately 922 sq. ft. of comfortable living space in a serene Hillsboro setting. The layout maximizes every square inch, providing an opportunity for a bright and functional interior perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Situated at Hillsboro, this property combines the peace of a rural atmosphere with convenient access to local amenities. Whether you are looking for a cozy primary residence or a manageable turnkey space, this home presents a fantastic opportunity to enjoy the beauty of this property.

Key facts

  • 1.45 acre lot
  • Built 1908
  • Listed 84 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 1.6% in Hillsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#434 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hillsboro R-III (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #204 of 324 in MO (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,980 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.63%
Cash-on-cash
33.33%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$22,326
Equity at exit
$9,990
10-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$62,158
Equity at exit
$5,793

Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63050

Home prices YoY
-24.8%
Active inventory
233
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$351
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $572/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $67,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $540 +0% $521 +5% $502 +10% $483
Rent -10% $426 -5% $474 +0% $521 +5% $568 +10% $616
Rate -1.0pp $555 -0.5pp $538 base $521 +0.5pp $504 +1.0pp $486

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,750
Closing costs
$2,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 Timber Ridge Dr Hillsboro, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 2d 12 1.04mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $67,000 Active 78 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,800 Active 77 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,800 Active 76 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,800 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-03-17
    listed $72,800 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home that offers approximately 922 sq. ft. of comfortable living space in a serene Hillsboro setting. The layout maximizes every square inch, providing an opportunity for a bright and functional interior perfect for relaxation or entertaining. Situated at Hillsboro, this property combines the peace of a rural atmosphere with convenient access to local amenities. Whether you are looking for a cozy primary residence or a manageable turnkey space, this home presents a fantastic opportunity to enjoy the beauty of this property.

  10. 2017-04-12
    price $79,900
  11. 2017-02-04
    price $81,500
  12. 2017-01-15
    price $86,500
  13. 2003-02-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$572 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$650 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$78/yr (+$6/mo · 13.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,753
− Property taxes
−$572
− Insurance
−$335
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$1,949
Taxable income
$5,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,317
After-tax cash flow
$4,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsboro R-III
NCES district ID
2914430
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$59,236
Composite
30.35/100
National rank
#6262
State rank
#204 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hillsboro

Score
61/100
State rank
#434
US rank
#17861

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,681

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,088 people
By 2030
238,365 · +1.4%
By 2040
240,156 · +2.2%
By 2050
234,651 · -0.2%
By 2075
214,569 · -8.7%
By 2100
179,697 · -23.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -36.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.7 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+35.3 2012: R+12.7 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.93%
Current HPI
233.2931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $72,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-12 Price Changed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-04 Price Changed $81,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-15 Price Changed $86,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-02-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $572 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…