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5432 Fort Ashby Rd
C+ Composite 63.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$100,000

5432 Fort Ashby Rd · Fort Ashby, WV 26726
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1900 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ATTENTION!!! Seller will CONSIDER adding more land at the buyer's expense for a new survey!!!!! Located in Mineral County, West Virginia, on 1 (ONE) acre. I have been contacted by many regarding the confusion about the 821 acres behind the property. 1 acre, along with the farmhouse, has been parcelled off for sale. The seller never occupied the home. It was a rental property. The tenants lived on the right side of the home, which has two bedrooms on the top floor and a full bathroom. The main level has a half bathroom, a dining area, two laundry connections, and a kitchen with only a refrigerator, cabinets, and a kitchen sink with a faucet. The utility area is located in the kitchen. There

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 50 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#206 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Mineral County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #32 of 55 in WV (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Mineral County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mineral County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
8.98%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$275,880
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5895 Fort Ashby Rd 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,484 (-11%) 6mo $245,000 $165 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$27,350
Equity at exit
$47,028
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
3.73×
Total profit
$76,330
Equity at exit
$74,124

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26726

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $279 -5% $244 +0% $210 +5% $175 +10% $140
Rent -10% $119 -5% $165 +0% $210 +5% $255 +10% $300
Rate -1.0pp $260 -0.5pp $235 base $210 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-01-20
    listed $100,000 Active
  4. 2026-01-18
    historical $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,680
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$235
After-tax cash flow
$2,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mineral County Schools
NCES district ID
5400870
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,161
Composite
24.85/100
National rank
#7590
State rank
#32 of 55 in WV

Livability — Fort Ashby

Score
61/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#18312

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,020
Population (ZIP)
12,619

Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,357 people
By 2030
24,009 · -5.3%
By 2040
21,321 · -15.9%
By 2050
18,801 · -25.9%
By 2075
13,934 · -45.0%
By 2100
10,141 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Mineral

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.36%
Current HPI
212.7657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-18 Coming Soon $100,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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