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D Composite 41.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

1761 Kittrell Dr SW · Ocean Isle Beach, NC 28469
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 168 Days on market
Built 1987 9,583 sqft lot Est $274k · at est. $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, Location, Location! This beautifully updated home is perfectly situated just minutes from Sunset Beach and Ocean Isle Beach—two of the most breathtaking beaches in the world—as well as the Intracoastal Waterway, offering endless opportunities for boating, water sports, and coastal living. This home has undergone an impressive makeover with major upgrades, including a new roof (2023), gas pack (2023), all-new ductwork and insulation, and brand-new LVP flooring (2025). The interior shines with fresh paint (2025), new quartz countertops (2025), new doors (2024), all newer plumbing fixtures, and a new washer and dryer. The primary bathroom features a newer 5-ft tiled show

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • New gas pack
  • New ductwork

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW GAS PACKNEW DUCTWORKNEW INSULATIONNEW LVP FLOORINGFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $200 (approximately $16.67/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level is 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 rooms total
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Accessible full bathroom; Crawl space basement; Has view

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($454/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.4% in Ocean Isle Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#454 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jessie Mae Monroe Elementary (math 43% / reading 41%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 394 students, 99% FRL); Shallotte Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 674 students, 100% FRL); West Brunswick High (math 50% / reading 56%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 536 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $269k implies a 1394% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,034 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.60%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$273,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1724 Whispering Pine St SW 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,258 (+5%) 6mo $284,250 $226 77
1740 Ocean View Dr SW 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,322 (+10%) 10mo $390,000 $295 73
1710 Lot 1- Lewis C Whispering Pine St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+5%) 11mo $239,000 $190 73
1710 Whispering Pine St SW Lot 1- Lewis C 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+5%) 11mo $239,000 $190 72
1968 Oak St SW 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-0%) 7mo $365,000 $305 71
2015 Ocean Haven Rd SW 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+5%) 1mo $340,000 $270 68
1975 Waterloo St SW 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (+12%) 8mo $410,000 $304 54
1955 Camelot Dr SW 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,331 (+11%) 6mo $520,000 $391 52
1631 Gate 1 Dr SW 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,292 (+8%) 5mo $245,500 $190 48
7179 Kamloop Dr SW 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+15%) 6mo $270,000 $196 43
1710 Bay Tree Ct SW 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+11%) 12mo $289,900 $217 39
7293 Nursery Rd SW 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,339 (+12%) 11mo $305,000 $228 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,292
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-33,316
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28469

Active inventory
536
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $980/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,052
Max offer price $269,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $114 +0% $38 +5% $-38 +10% $-114
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-45 +0% $38 +5% $121 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $173 -0.5pp $106 base $38 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1950 Ocean View Dr SW Ocean Isle Beach, NC 3.0 2.0 1356 $2,250 $1.66 24d 1 0.30mi
1407 Sunset Creek Way Ocean Isle Beach, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 872 $1,535 $1.76 14d 25 0.94mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr
Likely covers
watergas

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 168 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $269,000 Active 167 DOM
  3. 2026-03-12
    price $269,000
  4. 2025-12-13
    listed $299,000 Active
  5. 1986-07-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$980 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,206 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$1,226/yr (+$102/mo · 125.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,204
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$980
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$4,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,020
After-tax cash flow
$1,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick County Schools
NCES district ID
3700420
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,494
Composite
39.23/100
National rank
#4011
State rank
#82 of 178 in NC

Livability — Ocean Isle Beach

Score
62/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#16695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,364

Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,111 people
By 2030
165,705 · +8.9%
By 2040
188,494 · +23.9%
By 2050
206,228 · +35.6%
By 2075
237,876 · +56.4%
By 2100
251,451 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -270.51%
Current HPI
143.229
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1394.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $269,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-13 Listed $299,000 Hive MLS
  • 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $980 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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