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4430 Blueberry Ave
B- Composite 68.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

4430 Blueberry Ave · Dayton, OH 45406
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1962 8,451 sqft lot Est $99k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Turnkey investment opportunity! Tenant occupied and generating * * $1,100/month * * in rental income. This cash-flowing property offers immediate returns with a tenant already in place. Ideal for investors seeking a low-maintenance addition to their portfolio. Convenient Dayton location close to amenities, schools, and major highways. Immediate income from day one!

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • Close to amenities
  • 8,451 sq ft lot

Tags

TURNKEY INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYTENANT OCCUPIEDGENERATING RENTAL INCOMECASH-FLOWING PROPERTYCONVENIENT DAYTON LOCATIONCLOSE TO AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with space for one car
  • Home design: One-story home
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approx. 11 x 10 and 13 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Main-level living areas

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.21%
Cash-on-cash
13.99%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4647 Greenwich Village Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,057 (-2%) 5mo $20,000 $19 65
3927 Necco Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 936 (-13%) 1mo $72,500 $77 62
5130 Eichelberger Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,120 (+4%) 3mo $51,000 $46 59
4076 Prescott Ave 0.50mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,129 (+4%) 6mo $65,000 $58 57
3971 Prescott Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 2mo $77,500 $76 56
1680 Wesleyan Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,114 (+3%) 5mo $110,000 $99 54
4075 Middlehurst Ln 0.58mi 3/1.0 979 (-9%) 2mo $89,900 $92 54
3816 Lori Sue Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 925 (-14%) 3mo $152,000 $164 54
3920 Prescott Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 3mo $50,000 $49 53
4625 Saint Johns Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,015 (-6%) 6mo $105,000 $103 51
2212 Chamberlin Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 996 (-8%) 6mo $110,000 $110 45
1816 Wesleyan Rd 0.72mi 3/1.5 920 (-15%) 6mo $133,000 $145 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,109
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$27,507
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,093 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $830/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $725
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4629 Queens Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.29mi
4446 Waymire Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 21d 1 0.43mi
1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 805 $925 $1.15 43d 1 0.50mi
2014 Hickorydale Dr Unit 2016 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 43d 1 0.56mi
3650 Otterbein Ave Unit 3650 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 2d 1 0.56mi
3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 2d 1 0.57mi
2002 Val Vista Ct Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 975 $1,095 $1.12 21d 1 0.57mi
1720 Kings Mill Ct Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 975 $925 $0.95 23d 1 0.61mi
3672 Karwin Dr Unit 3672 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1500 $995 $0.66 43d 1 0.62mi
3668 Karwin Dr Unit 3672 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1500 $995 $0.66 23d 1 0.62mi
3537 Otterbein Ave Unit d Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 43d 1 0.64mi
3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 23d 1 0.68mi
3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 0.68mi
2408 Falmouth Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 806 $950 $1.18 23d 1 0.77mi
3311 Otterbein Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,300 $1.29 11d 1 0.80mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 43d 1 0.82mi
5112 W Hillcrest Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 972 $700 $0.72 23d 1 0.82mi
3207 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,000 $0.86 3d 1 0.91mi
2609 Fairport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 2d 1 0.96mi
3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 43d 1 1.02mi
3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 827 $1,000 $1.21 3d 1 1.03mi
1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 2d 1 1.06mi
4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,150 $1.33 2d 1 1.08mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 1.09mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 2d 1 1.09mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 2d 1 1.09mi
1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 2d 1 1.11mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 43d 1 1.12mi
2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 3d 1 1.16mi
4914 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 960 $1,125 $1.17 43d 1 1.26mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 3d 1 1.28mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 1.32mi
1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 957 $900 $0.94 2d 1 1.34mi
1927 Burroughs Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,245 $0.88 14d 1 1.35mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 1.37mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 23d 1 1.40mi
3711 Pittsburg Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 43d 1 1.42mi
1045 Shakespeare Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1435 $1,275 $0.89 43d 1 1.43mi
1045 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1290 $1,150 $0.89 2d 1 1.48mi
660 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,050 $0.92 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 371-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$830 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,109 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$279/yr (+$23/mo · 33.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,118
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$830
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,049
− Management
−$1,049
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$2,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$521
After-tax cash flow
$2,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $89,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2024-08-23 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-12 Rental Removed $1,100 RENT.
  • 2024-08-08 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENT.
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-02 Rental Removed $1,150 RENT.
  • 2024-07-30 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-24 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-22 Listed for Rent $1,150 RENT.
  • 2024-07-21 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-10 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-26 Rental Removed $1,100 RENT.
  • 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $1,100 RENT.
  • 2024-06-13 Listed for Rent $1,200 RENT.
  • 2022-05-22 Price Changed $1,000 RENT.
  • 2018-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
  • 1992-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $830 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…