434 Normandy Unit J · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
READY TO MOVE IN. JUST PAINTED, NEW CARPET, UPDATED KITCHEN W/ NEWER DISHWASHER, STORM SHUTTERS , & VERTICALS . PRICED RIGHT THIS WILL NOT LAST
Key facts
- Garden view
- First floor
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building name: NORMANDY J; Living area reported as 907 (source: other)
- Financial info: Not a land lease; Pets not allowed in the community; Community contains a large number of units (community-wide information)
- HOA & community: Community association managed by WILSON MANAGEMENT; Monthly association fee of $740; HOA covers cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, pest control, security, trash, elevator, golf, reserve funds, roof repairs, pool service; Community amenities include billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, golf course access, indoor pool, outdoor pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, pickleball, putting green, cafe/restaurant, courtesy bus, heated pool, maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 1 open/assigned parking space
- Security: Gated community; Security services (community amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; One-level living; 2-story building; Entry level: 1; Faces south
- Construction: Built with CBS construction
- Exterior features: Flat roof; First-floor entry; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Stacked bedroom layout; Closet cabinetry; Furnished unit; Screened porch; Porch
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $888 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 7039% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $88k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.29%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,430
- Equity at exit
- $19,160
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,169
- Equity at exit
- $11,110
Cash invested: $35,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33484
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,058 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$674
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $721/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$740
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $99
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $135 | +0% $99 | +5% $62 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $17 | +0% $99 | +5% $180 | +10% $261 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $131 | base $99 | +0.5pp $65 | +1.0pp $31 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,125
- Closing costs
- $3,855
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595 Normandy M Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,750 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 452 Normandy J Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 452 Normandy J Unit J Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 974 Normandy Trl #974 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 542 Normandy Ln Unit 542 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 120 Normandy C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $1,575 | $2.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 930 Normandy T Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $2,800 | $3.68 | 8d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 794 Normandy Q Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 17d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 949 Normandy Trl Unit 949 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $3,500 | $3.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 66 Capri B #66 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $2,000 | $2.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 468 Capri J Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 66 Capri B Unit B Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $2,000 | $2.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 15235 Lakes of Delray Blvd #299 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,975 | $2.19 | 19d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 98 Capri C Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 795 | $1,695 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 115 Capri B Unit 115 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15109 Ashland Dr #323 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $3,500 | $3.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 998 Normandy Trl Unit 998 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 998 Normandy Trl Unit 998 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 15108 Ashland Dr #215 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 812 Burgundy Q Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,799 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 207 Capri E #207 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,700 | $1.87 | 8d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 599 Burgundy M Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 519 Burgundy K Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $2,400 | $3.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 767 Burgundy P Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 313 Burgundy G Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,050 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 548 Burgundy L Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 416 Burgundy N Unit I Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $2,100 | $2.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 15072 Ashland Pl #132 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 559 Normandy Ln #559 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,650 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 586 Normandy Ln #586 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,750 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 244 Normandy Ln Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $2,400 | $2.65 | 11d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 708 Normandy O Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $3,000 | $3.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 729 Normandy P Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 825 Normandy R Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $3,350 | $3.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 900 Normandy S Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,500 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 226 Normandy E Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $1,200 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 70 Normandy B Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,695 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 394 Normandy I Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $1,600 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 185 Normandy D Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 760 | $1,499 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 137 Normandy Ln Unit 137 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,895 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $740 · $8,880/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $128,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $128,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $128,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $128,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 630-char remark
-
2026-06-07$134,500 Active 6 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $721 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,067 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 47.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,198
- − Property taxes
- −$721
- − Insurance
- −$642
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,976
- − Management
- −$1,976
- − HOA
- −$8,880
- − Depreciation
- −$3,738
- Taxable loss
- −$431
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$103
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,208
- Household income
- $62,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 13% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.73%
- Current HPI
- 254.5016
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.28%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-95.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed for Rent $1,800 GFLMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $134,500 Beaches MLS
- 2024-01-04 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2023-12-27 Rental Removed $1,650 GFLMLS
- 2023-12-15 Listed $205,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-12-02 Price Changed $1,650 GFLMLS
- 2023-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,750 GFLMLS
- 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-24 Sold (MLS) $88,000 Beaches MLS
- 2004-12-06 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2004-12-01 Listed $89,900 Beaches MLS
- 1998-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $721 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…