506 3rd ST West St · Argyle, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a detached garage. Featuring a newer roof and new windows. Comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and a warm welcoming feel throughout. A great place to settle in and make your own in a friendly small town setting.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Natural light
- New windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#349 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Stephen-Argyle Central Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #170 of 467 in MN (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Marshall County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $55k implies a 268% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.28%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $26,427
- Equity at exit
- $24,685
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $66,330
- Equity at exit
- $38,043
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56713
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $856 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $654/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $54,900 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a detached garage. Featuring a newer roof and new windows. Comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and a warm welcoming feel throughout. A great place to settle in and make your own in a friendly small town setting.
-
2026-02-20$59,990 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with a detached garage. Featuring a newer roof and new windows. Comfortable layout with plenty of natural light and a warm welcoming feel throughout. A great place to settle in and make your own in a friendly small town setting.
-
2008-12-26soldstatus $14,900
-
2004-05-19soldstatus $14,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $654 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $654 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$654
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$822
- − Management
- −$822
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $3,028
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stephen-Argyle Central Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2700127
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,566
- Composite
- 51.14/100
- National rank
- #3775
- State rank
- #170 of 467 in MN
Livability — Argyle
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #349
- US rank
- #8141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Argyle, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 866
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,191 people
- By 2030
- 9,078 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 8,815 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 8,464 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 8,156 · -11.3%
- By 2100
- 7,171 · -22.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 37% Romanian 23% Lithuanian 21%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.7) · D 23.4% · R 75.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.7 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+12.1 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+268.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $54,900 GFAAR
- 2026-02-20 Listed $59,990 GFAAR
- 2008-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
- 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $654 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…